Detection of BK polyomavirus-associated nephropathy using plasma graft-derived cell-free DNA: Development of a novel algorithm from programmed monitoring

Graft-derived cell-free DNA (GcfDNA) is a promising non-invasive biomarker for detecting allograft injury. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the efficacy of programmed monitoring of GcfDNA for identifying BK polyomavirus-associated nephropathy (BKPyVAN) in kidney transplant recipients. We recruited 158 kidney transplant recipients between November 2020 and December 2021. Plasma GcfDNA was collected on the tenth day, first month, third month, and sixth month for programmed monitoring and one day before biopsy. ΔGcfDNA (cp/mL) was obtained by subtracting the baseline GcfDNA (cp/mL) from GcfDNA (cp/mL) of the latest programmed monitoring before biopsy. The receiver operating characteristic curve showed the diagnostic performance of GcfDNA (cp/mL) at biopsy time and an optimal area under the curve (AUC) of 0.68 in distinguishing pathologically proven BKPyVAN from pathologically unconfirmed BKPyVAN. In contrast, ΔGcfDNA (cp/mL) had a sensitivity and specificity of 80% and 84.6%, respectively, and an AUC of 0.83. When distinguishing clinically diagnosed BKPyVAN from clinical excluded BKPyVAN, the AUC of GcfDNA (cp/mL) was 0.59 at biopsy time, and ΔGcfDNA (cp/mL) had a sensitivity and specificity of 81.0% and 76.5%, respectively, and an AUC of 0.81. Plasma ΔGcfDNA (cp/mL) was not significantly different between TCMR [0.15 (0.08, 0.24) cp/mL] and pathologically proven BKPyVAN[0.34 (0.20, 0.49) cp/mL]. In conclusion, we recommend programmed monitoring of plasma GcfDNA levels after a kidney transplant. Based on our findings from the programmed monitoring, we have developed a novel algorithm that shows promising results in identifying and predicting BKPyVAN.