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A game-theoretic model of rabies in domestic dogs with multiple voluntary preventive measures

Game theory is now routinely applied to quantitatively model the decision making of individuals presented with various voluntary actions that can prevent a given disease. Most models consider only a single preventive strategy and the case where multiple preventative actions are available is severely...

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Autores principales: Campo, Vince N., Palacios, John Lawrence, Nagahashi, Hideo, Oh, Hyunju, Rychtář, Jan, Taylor, Dewey
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9583067/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36264390
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-022-01826-z
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author Campo, Vince N.
Palacios, John Lawrence
Nagahashi, Hideo
Oh, Hyunju
Rychtář, Jan
Taylor, Dewey
author_facet Campo, Vince N.
Palacios, John Lawrence
Nagahashi, Hideo
Oh, Hyunju
Rychtář, Jan
Taylor, Dewey
author_sort Campo, Vince N.
collection PubMed
description Game theory is now routinely applied to quantitatively model the decision making of individuals presented with various voluntary actions that can prevent a given disease. Most models consider only a single preventive strategy and the case where multiple preventative actions are available is severely understudied. In our paper, we consider a very simple SI compartmental model of rabies in the domestic dog population. We study two choices of the dog owners: to vaccinate their dogs or to restrict the movements of unvaccinated dogs. We analyze the relatively rich patterns of Nash equilibria (NE). We show that there is always at least one NE at which the owners utilize only one form of prevention. However, there can be up to three different NEs at the same time: two NEs at which the owners use exclusively only the vaccination or movement restriction, and the third NE when the owners use both forms of prevention simultaneously. However, we also show that, unlike the first two types of NEs, the third kind of NE is not convergent stable.
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spelling pubmed-95830672022-10-20 A game-theoretic model of rabies in domestic dogs with multiple voluntary preventive measures Campo, Vince N. Palacios, John Lawrence Nagahashi, Hideo Oh, Hyunju Rychtář, Jan Taylor, Dewey J Math Biol Article Game theory is now routinely applied to quantitatively model the decision making of individuals presented with various voluntary actions that can prevent a given disease. Most models consider only a single preventive strategy and the case where multiple preventative actions are available is severely understudied. In our paper, we consider a very simple SI compartmental model of rabies in the domestic dog population. We study two choices of the dog owners: to vaccinate their dogs or to restrict the movements of unvaccinated dogs. We analyze the relatively rich patterns of Nash equilibria (NE). We show that there is always at least one NE at which the owners utilize only one form of prevention. However, there can be up to three different NEs at the same time: two NEs at which the owners use exclusively only the vaccination or movement restriction, and the third NE when the owners use both forms of prevention simultaneously. However, we also show that, unlike the first two types of NEs, the third kind of NE is not convergent stable. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022-10-20 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC9583067/ /pubmed/36264390 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-022-01826-z Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2022, Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Article
Campo, Vince N.
Palacios, John Lawrence
Nagahashi, Hideo
Oh, Hyunju
Rychtář, Jan
Taylor, Dewey
A game-theoretic model of rabies in domestic dogs with multiple voluntary preventive measures
title A game-theoretic model of rabies in domestic dogs with multiple voluntary preventive measures
title_full A game-theoretic model of rabies in domestic dogs with multiple voluntary preventive measures
title_fullStr A game-theoretic model of rabies in domestic dogs with multiple voluntary preventive measures
title_full_unstemmed A game-theoretic model of rabies in domestic dogs with multiple voluntary preventive measures
title_short A game-theoretic model of rabies in domestic dogs with multiple voluntary preventive measures
title_sort game-theoretic model of rabies in domestic dogs with multiple voluntary preventive measures
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9583067/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36264390
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-022-01826-z
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