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Construction and Application of the Financial Early-Warning Model Based on the BP Neural Network

In order to further improve the early-warning effect of enterprise financial crisis management and reduce the occurrence of enterprise financial crisis, by taking listed companies as examples and combining the operating conditions of listed companies, a financial crisis early-warning indicator syste...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Jiang, Weiwei, Wu, Xuefeng, Wang, Xi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Hindawi 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9584702/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36275957
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/5108677
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author Jiang, Weiwei
Wu, Xuefeng
Wang, Xi
author_facet Jiang, Weiwei
Wu, Xuefeng
Wang, Xi
author_sort Jiang, Weiwei
collection PubMed
description In order to further improve the early-warning effect of enterprise financial crisis management and reduce the occurrence of enterprise financial crisis, by taking listed companies as examples and combining the operating conditions of listed companies, a financial crisis early-warning indicator system was built from five aspects of profitability, debt-paying ability, development ability, operation ability, and cash flow ability. In addition, a financial management early-warning model based on the BP neural network algorithm was built. Through the experimental prediction, it is showed that the financial crisis early-warning model of listed companies based on the BP neural network algorithm for crisis prediction accuracy was more than 75%. The accuracy of the first three years of model prediction was 93.33% and 72.34%, respectively. The accuracy of model prediction in the first two years was 94.67% and 82.98%, respectively. In the first year, the accuracy rate increased to 100% and 89.36%. Compared with the prediction accuracy of the logistic model (50%), it is fully reflected that the financial early-warning model proposed in the research had a good crisis prediction ability.
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spelling pubmed-95847022022-10-21 Construction and Application of the Financial Early-Warning Model Based on the BP Neural Network Jiang, Weiwei Wu, Xuefeng Wang, Xi Comput Intell Neurosci Research Article In order to further improve the early-warning effect of enterprise financial crisis management and reduce the occurrence of enterprise financial crisis, by taking listed companies as examples and combining the operating conditions of listed companies, a financial crisis early-warning indicator system was built from five aspects of profitability, debt-paying ability, development ability, operation ability, and cash flow ability. In addition, a financial management early-warning model based on the BP neural network algorithm was built. Through the experimental prediction, it is showed that the financial crisis early-warning model of listed companies based on the BP neural network algorithm for crisis prediction accuracy was more than 75%. The accuracy of the first three years of model prediction was 93.33% and 72.34%, respectively. The accuracy of model prediction in the first two years was 94.67% and 82.98%, respectively. In the first year, the accuracy rate increased to 100% and 89.36%. Compared with the prediction accuracy of the logistic model (50%), it is fully reflected that the financial early-warning model proposed in the research had a good crisis prediction ability. Hindawi 2022-10-13 /pmc/articles/PMC9584702/ /pubmed/36275957 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/5108677 Text en Copyright © 2022 Weiwei Jiang et al. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Jiang, Weiwei
Wu, Xuefeng
Wang, Xi
Construction and Application of the Financial Early-Warning Model Based on the BP Neural Network
title Construction and Application of the Financial Early-Warning Model Based on the BP Neural Network
title_full Construction and Application of the Financial Early-Warning Model Based on the BP Neural Network
title_fullStr Construction and Application of the Financial Early-Warning Model Based on the BP Neural Network
title_full_unstemmed Construction and Application of the Financial Early-Warning Model Based on the BP Neural Network
title_short Construction and Application of the Financial Early-Warning Model Based on the BP Neural Network
title_sort construction and application of the financial early-warning model based on the bp neural network
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9584702/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36275957
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/5108677
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