Meta-analysis of the prognostic value of circulating tumor cells in gastrointestinal cancer

Detecting circulating tumor cells (CTCs) has become a new strategy for predicting the prognosis of cancer patients. However, limited systematic research evidence is available for the detection of CTCs in various gastrointestinal tumors such as esophageal cancer (EC), colorectal cancer (CRC) and gastric cancer (GC). This topic was addressed to assess the prognostic significance of CTCs in gastrointestinal tumors. METHODS: We conducted a literature search according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) checklist (from November 20, 2021). We performed a meta-analysis using the random effects model and Review Manager 5.3 software (The Cochrane Collaboration, Copenhagen, Denmark) according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, data extraction and evaluation methods. RESULTS: Twenty-four articles met the inclusion criteria for this study, and they included 3803 EC, CRC and GC patients, including 1189 CTC-positive and 2462 CTC-negative cases. The meta-analysis showed that the presence of CTCs was associated with worse OS (HR = 2.05, 95% CI = 1.75–2.40, P = .060) and PFS (HR = 2.27, 95% CI = 1.79–2.89, P < .001). Further meta-regression and subgroup analyses showed that CTC-positive patients also showed worse OS and PFS in different subgroups. CONCLUSION: Our meta-analysis suggests that detecting CTCs in peripheral blood may be an important tool for improving the prognosis of patients with gastrointestinal tumors. Moreover, CTCs detection results could be used to develop personalized treatment plans in the future.