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A patchy theoretical model for the transmission dynamics of SARS-Cov-2 with optimal control
Short-term human movements play a major part in the transmission and control of COVID-19, within and between countries. Such movements are necessary to be included in mathematical models that aim to assist in understanding the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. A two-patch basic mathematical model f...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9592884/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36284219 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21553-1 |
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author | Mhlanga, A. Mupedza, T. V. |
author_facet | Mhlanga, A. Mupedza, T. V. |
author_sort | Mhlanga, A. |
collection | PubMed |
description | Short-term human movements play a major part in the transmission and control of COVID-19, within and between countries. Such movements are necessary to be included in mathematical models that aim to assist in understanding the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. A two-patch basic mathematical model for COVID-19 was developed and analyzed, incorporating short-term human mobility. Here, we modeled the human mobility that depended on its epidemiological status, by the Lagrangian approach. A sharp threshold for disease dynamics known as the reproduction number was computed. Particularly, we portrayed that when the disease threshold is less than unity, the disease dies out and the disease persists when the reproduction number is greater than unity. Optimal control theory was also applied to the proposed model, with the aim of investigating the cost-effectiveness strategy. The findings were further investigated through the usage of the results from the cost objective functional, the average cost-effectiveness ratio (ACER), and then the infection averted ratio (IAR). |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9592884 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-95928842022-10-25 A patchy theoretical model for the transmission dynamics of SARS-Cov-2 with optimal control Mhlanga, A. Mupedza, T. V. Sci Rep Article Short-term human movements play a major part in the transmission and control of COVID-19, within and between countries. Such movements are necessary to be included in mathematical models that aim to assist in understanding the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. A two-patch basic mathematical model for COVID-19 was developed and analyzed, incorporating short-term human mobility. Here, we modeled the human mobility that depended on its epidemiological status, by the Lagrangian approach. A sharp threshold for disease dynamics known as the reproduction number was computed. Particularly, we portrayed that when the disease threshold is less than unity, the disease dies out and the disease persists when the reproduction number is greater than unity. Optimal control theory was also applied to the proposed model, with the aim of investigating the cost-effectiveness strategy. The findings were further investigated through the usage of the results from the cost objective functional, the average cost-effectiveness ratio (ACER), and then the infection averted ratio (IAR). Nature Publishing Group UK 2022-10-25 /pmc/articles/PMC9592884/ /pubmed/36284219 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21553-1 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Article Mhlanga, A. Mupedza, T. V. A patchy theoretical model for the transmission dynamics of SARS-Cov-2 with optimal control |
title | A patchy theoretical model for the transmission dynamics of SARS-Cov-2 with optimal control |
title_full | A patchy theoretical model for the transmission dynamics of SARS-Cov-2 with optimal control |
title_fullStr | A patchy theoretical model for the transmission dynamics of SARS-Cov-2 with optimal control |
title_full_unstemmed | A patchy theoretical model for the transmission dynamics of SARS-Cov-2 with optimal control |
title_short | A patchy theoretical model for the transmission dynamics of SARS-Cov-2 with optimal control |
title_sort | patchy theoretical model for the transmission dynamics of sars-cov-2 with optimal control |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9592884/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36284219 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21553-1 |
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