Ethnic differences in COVID-19 deaths across various waves of Coronavirus pandemic in Netherlands: Felix Chilunga

BACKGROUND: It is not known how ethnic differences in COVID-19 deaths in the Netherlands evolved throughout the pandemic, especially after introduction of ethnicity-oriented COVID-19 prevention measures. We investigated associations between ethnicity and COVID-19 deaths across first wave of the pandemic, inter-wave period, and second wave in the Netherlands. METHODS: We obtained multiple registry data from Statistics Netherlands spanning from 01 March 2020 to 14 March 2021 comprising of 17.4 million inhabitants. We estimated incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for COVID-19 deaths among ethnic groups using Poisson regression models and adjusted for relevant socio-demographic factors. We used similar models to estimate IRRs for non-COVID-19 deaths among ethnic groups. RESULTS: Ethnic minority populations exhibited higher risk of COVID-19 deaths than the Dutch origin population throughout various study periods. The most elevated risk of COVID-19 deaths was in populations originating from low- and middle-income countries, especially those with Turkish, Moroccan, and Surinamese background. The elevated risk of COVID-19 deaths among ethnic minority groups (as compared to Dutch origin population) was higher in inter-wave period (4 times higher) and second wave (2 times higher) when compared to the first wave (1.5 times as higher). Ethnic differences in COVID-19 deaths were larger compared to non-COVID-19 deaths. CONCLUSIONS: Ethnic differences in COVID-19 deaths persisted across first wave, inter-wave period and second wave in the Netherlands despite introduction of ethnicity-oriented prevention measures. Research on explanatory mechanisms and novel prevention measures are needed to address the ongoing differences in COVID-19 deaths across ethnic groups. KEY MESSAGES: • Ethnic differences in COVID-19 deaths persisted in the Netherlands despite introduction of ethnicity-oriented prevention measures.We therefore call for better prevention measures. • Well known drivers of SARS-CoV-2 infection such as household wealth, did not explain our findings calling for an in-depth understanding of drivers of ethnic differences in COVID-19 deaths.