Diagnostic Performance of the Acute Kidney Injury Baseline Creatinine Equations in Children and Adolescents with Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus Onset

Three new equations for calculating the estimated basal serum creatinine (ebSCr) in hospitalized children have been developed: the simplified acute kidney injury (AKI) baseline creatinine (ABC) equation which considered only age in the formula; the equation including age and minimum creatinine (Cr(min)) within the initial 72 h from hospitalization (ABC-cr); and the equation including Cr(min) and height, weight, and age as squared values (ABC-advanced). We aimed to test the diagnostic performance of the ABC, ABC-cr and ABC-advanced equations in diagnosing AKI in 163 prospectively enrolled children with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) onset. We considered measured basal serum creatinine (mbSCr), the creatinine measured 14 days after T1DM onset. AKI was defined by the highest/basal serum creatine (HC/BC) ratio > 1.5. On the basis of the mbSCr, the AKI was diagnosed in 66/163 (40.5%) patients. This prevalence was lower than the prevalence of AKI diagnosed on the basis of ABC ebSCr (122/163 patients; 74.8%) (p < 0.001) and similar to the prevalence of AKI diagnosed on the basis of ABC-cr ebSCr (72/163 patients; 44.2%) (p = 0.5) and to the prevalence of AKI diagnosed on the basis of ABC-advanced ebSCr (69/163; 42.3%) (p = 0.73). AKI determined using ABC ebSCr, ABC-cr ebSCr and ABC-advanced ebSCr showed, respectively, 63.5% (kappa = 0.35; p < 0.001), 87.7% (kappa = 0.75; p < 0.001), and 87.1% (kappa = 0.74; p < 0.001) agreement with AKI determined using mbSCr. Using the HC/BC ratio calculated on the basis of mbSCr as gold standard, for Bland–Altman plots the HC/BC ratio calculated on the basis of ABC formula presented higher bias and wider limits of agreement compared with the HC/BC ratio calculated on the basis of ABC-cr and ABC-advanced formulas. In the receiver–operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis the HC/BC ratio calculated on the basis of ABC ebSCr presented lower area under the ROC curve (AUROC) (AUROC = 0.89; 95%CI: 0.85–0.95; p < 0.001) compared with HC/BC ratio calculated on the basis of ABC-cr (AUROC = 0.94; 95%CI: 0.91–0.98; p < 0.001) or ABC-advanced ebSCr (AUROC = 0.914; 95%CI: 0.91–0.97; p < 0.001). In both Bland–Altman plots and ROC curve analysis, the ABC-cr and ABC-advanced formulas performed similarly. In conclusion, the ABC-cr and ABC-advanced formulas present very good diagnostic performance toward AKI identification in a population of children with T1DM onset.