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Foresight science in conservation: Tools, barriers, and mainstreaming opportunities
Foresight science is a systematic approach to generate future predictions for planning and management by drawing upon analytical and predictive tools to understand the past and present, while providing insights about the future. To illustrate the application of foresight science in conservation, we...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer Netherlands
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9607712/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36287382 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-022-01786-0 |
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author | Ednie, Gabrielle Kapoor, Tyreen Koppel, Olga Piczak, Morgan L. Reid, Jessica L. Murdoch, Alyssa D. Cook, Carly N. Sutherland, William J. Cooke, Steven J. |
author_facet | Ednie, Gabrielle Kapoor, Tyreen Koppel, Olga Piczak, Morgan L. Reid, Jessica L. Murdoch, Alyssa D. Cook, Carly N. Sutherland, William J. Cooke, Steven J. |
author_sort | Ednie, Gabrielle |
collection | PubMed |
description | Foresight science is a systematic approach to generate future predictions for planning and management by drawing upon analytical and predictive tools to understand the past and present, while providing insights about the future. To illustrate the application of foresight science in conservation, we present three case studies: identification of emerging risks to conservation, conservation of at-risk species, and aid in the development of management strategies for multiple stressors. We highlight barriers to mainstreaming foresight science in conservation including knowledge accessibility/organization, communication across diverse stakeholders/decision makers, and organizational capacity. Finally, we investigate opportunities for mainstreaming foresight science including continued advocacy to showcase its application, incorporating emerging technologies (i.e., artificial intelligence) to increase capacity/decrease costs, and increasing education/training in foresight science via specialized courses and curricula for trainees and practicing professionals. We argue that failure to mainstream foresight science will hinder the ability to achieve future conservation objectives in the Anthropocene. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13280-022-01786-0. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9607712 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Springer Netherlands |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-96077122022-10-28 Foresight science in conservation: Tools, barriers, and mainstreaming opportunities Ednie, Gabrielle Kapoor, Tyreen Koppel, Olga Piczak, Morgan L. Reid, Jessica L. Murdoch, Alyssa D. Cook, Carly N. Sutherland, William J. Cooke, Steven J. Ambio Perspective Foresight science is a systematic approach to generate future predictions for planning and management by drawing upon analytical and predictive tools to understand the past and present, while providing insights about the future. To illustrate the application of foresight science in conservation, we present three case studies: identification of emerging risks to conservation, conservation of at-risk species, and aid in the development of management strategies for multiple stressors. We highlight barriers to mainstreaming foresight science in conservation including knowledge accessibility/organization, communication across diverse stakeholders/decision makers, and organizational capacity. Finally, we investigate opportunities for mainstreaming foresight science including continued advocacy to showcase its application, incorporating emerging technologies (i.e., artificial intelligence) to increase capacity/decrease costs, and increasing education/training in foresight science via specialized courses and curricula for trainees and practicing professionals. We argue that failure to mainstream foresight science will hinder the ability to achieve future conservation objectives in the Anthropocene. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13280-022-01786-0. Springer Netherlands 2022-10-26 2023-02 /pmc/articles/PMC9607712/ /pubmed/36287382 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-022-01786-0 Text en © The Author(s) under exclusive licence to Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2022, Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. |
spellingShingle | Perspective Ednie, Gabrielle Kapoor, Tyreen Koppel, Olga Piczak, Morgan L. Reid, Jessica L. Murdoch, Alyssa D. Cook, Carly N. Sutherland, William J. Cooke, Steven J. Foresight science in conservation: Tools, barriers, and mainstreaming opportunities |
title | Foresight science in conservation: Tools, barriers, and mainstreaming opportunities |
title_full | Foresight science in conservation: Tools, barriers, and mainstreaming opportunities |
title_fullStr | Foresight science in conservation: Tools, barriers, and mainstreaming opportunities |
title_full_unstemmed | Foresight science in conservation: Tools, barriers, and mainstreaming opportunities |
title_short | Foresight science in conservation: Tools, barriers, and mainstreaming opportunities |
title_sort | foresight science in conservation: tools, barriers, and mainstreaming opportunities |
topic | Perspective |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9607712/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36287382 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-022-01786-0 |
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