Predicting Housing Related Delayed Discharge from Mental Health Inpatient Units: A Case Control Study

The aims of this study were to identify factors that a) predict whether people experience housing related discharge delay (HRDD) from a mental health inpatient unit; and b) predict the length of HRDD for people affected. By identifying the groups most affected by HRDD, clinicians and policy makers can prioritise and address barriers to timely discharge at both an individual and systemic level. A case control study using a detailed medical record review was conducted in one Australian mental health service. Demographic, clinical, contextual and systemic variables were collected for patients with HRDD in one calendar year (n = 55) and a random comparison sample (n = 55). Logistical and multiple regression analyses were conducted to identify variables that predict HRDD and length of HRDD. A model that correctly predicted 92% of HRDD and 78% of non-HRDD cases using five variables was developed. These variables were: diagnosis of schizophrenia or other psychotic disorder, physical comorbidity, having a history of violence or aggressive behaviour, being employed and being involved as a defendant in the justice system. The first three variables increased the likelihood of HRDD, while the second two reduced the likelihood of HRDD. For people who experienced HRDD, the only variable that predicted length of delay was staff reported difficulty finding appropriate support services. This model can be used to rapidly identify patients who might be at risk of HRDD and commence coordinated actions to secure appropriate housing and supports to facilitate timely discharge, thereby addressing a current practice gap. These findings highlight the intersection between health, housing and disability services in the lives of people with serious mental illness, and the need for a whole of government approach to investment and integration to address systemic barriers to suitable housing and supports.