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Contributions of distemper control and habitat expansion to the Amur leopard viability
The Amur leopard (Panthera pardus orientalis) is a critically endangered top predator that struggles on the brink of extinction due to threats such as canine distemper virus (CDV), habitat loss, and inbreeding depression. Here we develop a viability analysis metamodel that combines a traditional ind...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9618572/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36310335 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-04127-9 |
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author | Wang, Dawei Accatino, Francesco Smith, James L. D. Wang, Tianming |
author_facet | Wang, Dawei Accatino, Francesco Smith, James L. D. Wang, Tianming |
author_sort | Wang, Dawei |
collection | PubMed |
description | The Amur leopard (Panthera pardus orientalis) is a critically endangered top predator that struggles on the brink of extinction due to threats such as canine distemper virus (CDV), habitat loss, and inbreeding depression. Here we develop a viability analysis metamodel that combines a traditional individual-based demographic model with an epidemiological model to assess the benefits of alternative population management actions in response to multiple distinct threats. Our results showed an extinction risk of 10.3%-99.9% if no management actions were taken over 100 years under different levels of inbreeding depression. Reducing the risk of CDV infection in Amur leopards through the low-coverage vaccination of leopards and the management of sympatric domestic dogs could effectively improve the survival probability of the leopard population, and with habitat expansion added to these management measures, the population expanded further. Our findings highlight that protecting the Amur leopard necessitates a multifaceted synergistic effort, and controlling multiple threats together may significantly escalate overall viability of a species, especially for small-isolated threatened population. More broadly, our modeling framework could offer critical perspectives and scientific support for conservation planning, as well as specific adaptive management actions for endangered species around the world. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9618572 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-96185722022-11-01 Contributions of distemper control and habitat expansion to the Amur leopard viability Wang, Dawei Accatino, Francesco Smith, James L. D. Wang, Tianming Commun Biol Article The Amur leopard (Panthera pardus orientalis) is a critically endangered top predator that struggles on the brink of extinction due to threats such as canine distemper virus (CDV), habitat loss, and inbreeding depression. Here we develop a viability analysis metamodel that combines a traditional individual-based demographic model with an epidemiological model to assess the benefits of alternative population management actions in response to multiple distinct threats. Our results showed an extinction risk of 10.3%-99.9% if no management actions were taken over 100 years under different levels of inbreeding depression. Reducing the risk of CDV infection in Amur leopards through the low-coverage vaccination of leopards and the management of sympatric domestic dogs could effectively improve the survival probability of the leopard population, and with habitat expansion added to these management measures, the population expanded further. Our findings highlight that protecting the Amur leopard necessitates a multifaceted synergistic effort, and controlling multiple threats together may significantly escalate overall viability of a species, especially for small-isolated threatened population. More broadly, our modeling framework could offer critical perspectives and scientific support for conservation planning, as well as specific adaptive management actions for endangered species around the world. Nature Publishing Group UK 2022-10-30 /pmc/articles/PMC9618572/ /pubmed/36310335 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-04127-9 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Article Wang, Dawei Accatino, Francesco Smith, James L. D. Wang, Tianming Contributions of distemper control and habitat expansion to the Amur leopard viability |
title | Contributions of distemper control and habitat expansion to the Amur leopard viability |
title_full | Contributions of distemper control and habitat expansion to the Amur leopard viability |
title_fullStr | Contributions of distemper control and habitat expansion to the Amur leopard viability |
title_full_unstemmed | Contributions of distemper control and habitat expansion to the Amur leopard viability |
title_short | Contributions of distemper control and habitat expansion to the Amur leopard viability |
title_sort | contributions of distemper control and habitat expansion to the amur leopard viability |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9618572/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36310335 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-04127-9 |
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