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Pairwise and high-order dependencies in the cryptocurrency trading network

In this paper we analyse the effects of information flows in cryptocurrency markets. We first define a cryptocurrency trading network, i.e. the network made using cryptocurrencies as nodes and the Granger causality among their weekly log returns as links, later we analyse its evolution over time. In...

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Autores principales: Scagliarini, Tomas, Pappalardo, Giuseppe, Biondo, Alessio Emanuele, Pluchino, Alessandro, Rapisarda, Andrea, Stramaglia, Sebastiano
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9628620/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36323721
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21192-6
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author Scagliarini, Tomas
Pappalardo, Giuseppe
Biondo, Alessio Emanuele
Pluchino, Alessandro
Rapisarda, Andrea
Stramaglia, Sebastiano
author_facet Scagliarini, Tomas
Pappalardo, Giuseppe
Biondo, Alessio Emanuele
Pluchino, Alessandro
Rapisarda, Andrea
Stramaglia, Sebastiano
author_sort Scagliarini, Tomas
collection PubMed
description In this paper we analyse the effects of information flows in cryptocurrency markets. We first define a cryptocurrency trading network, i.e. the network made using cryptocurrencies as nodes and the Granger causality among their weekly log returns as links, later we analyse its evolution over time. In particular, with reference to years 2020 and 2021, we study the logarithmic US dollar price returns of the cryptocurrency trading network using both pairwise and high-order statistical dependencies, quantified by Granger causality and O-information, respectively. With reference to the former, we find that it shows peaks in correspondence of important events, like e.g., Covid-19 pandemic turbulence or occasional sudden prices rise. The corresponding network structure is rather stable, across weekly time windows in the period considered and the coins are the most influential nodes in the network. In the pairwise description of the network, stable coins seem to play a marginal role whereas, turning high-order dependencies, they appear in the highest number of synergistic information circuits, thus proving that they play a major role for high order effects. With reference to redundancy and synergy with the time evolution of the total transactions in US dollars, we find that their large volume in the first semester of 2021 seems to have triggered a transition in the cryptocurrency network toward a more complex dynamical landscape. Our results show that pairwise and high-order descriptions of complex financial systems provide complementary information for cryptocurrency analysis.
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spelling pubmed-96286202022-11-02 Pairwise and high-order dependencies in the cryptocurrency trading network Scagliarini, Tomas Pappalardo, Giuseppe Biondo, Alessio Emanuele Pluchino, Alessandro Rapisarda, Andrea Stramaglia, Sebastiano Sci Rep Article In this paper we analyse the effects of information flows in cryptocurrency markets. We first define a cryptocurrency trading network, i.e. the network made using cryptocurrencies as nodes and the Granger causality among their weekly log returns as links, later we analyse its evolution over time. In particular, with reference to years 2020 and 2021, we study the logarithmic US dollar price returns of the cryptocurrency trading network using both pairwise and high-order statistical dependencies, quantified by Granger causality and O-information, respectively. With reference to the former, we find that it shows peaks in correspondence of important events, like e.g., Covid-19 pandemic turbulence or occasional sudden prices rise. The corresponding network structure is rather stable, across weekly time windows in the period considered and the coins are the most influential nodes in the network. In the pairwise description of the network, stable coins seem to play a marginal role whereas, turning high-order dependencies, they appear in the highest number of synergistic information circuits, thus proving that they play a major role for high order effects. With reference to redundancy and synergy with the time evolution of the total transactions in US dollars, we find that their large volume in the first semester of 2021 seems to have triggered a transition in the cryptocurrency network toward a more complex dynamical landscape. Our results show that pairwise and high-order descriptions of complex financial systems provide complementary information for cryptocurrency analysis. Nature Publishing Group UK 2022-11-02 /pmc/articles/PMC9628620/ /pubmed/36323721 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21192-6 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Scagliarini, Tomas
Pappalardo, Giuseppe
Biondo, Alessio Emanuele
Pluchino, Alessandro
Rapisarda, Andrea
Stramaglia, Sebastiano
Pairwise and high-order dependencies in the cryptocurrency trading network
title Pairwise and high-order dependencies in the cryptocurrency trading network
title_full Pairwise and high-order dependencies in the cryptocurrency trading network
title_fullStr Pairwise and high-order dependencies in the cryptocurrency trading network
title_full_unstemmed Pairwise and high-order dependencies in the cryptocurrency trading network
title_short Pairwise and high-order dependencies in the cryptocurrency trading network
title_sort pairwise and high-order dependencies in the cryptocurrency trading network
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9628620/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36323721
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21192-6
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