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How meteorological factors impacting on scrub typhus incidences in the main epidemic areas of 10 provinces, China, 2006–2018
Scrub typhus, caused by Orientia tsutsugamushi, is a serious public health problem in the Asia-Pacific region, threatening the health of more than one billion people. China is one of the countries with the most serious disease burden of scrub typhus. Previous epidemiological evidence indicated that...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Frontiers Media S.A.
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9628745/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36339235 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.992555 |
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author | Luo, Yizhe Zhang, Longyao Lv, Heng Zhu, Changqiang Ai, Lele Qi, Yong Yue, Na Zhang, Lingling Wu, Jiahong Tan, Weilong |
author_facet | Luo, Yizhe Zhang, Longyao Lv, Heng Zhu, Changqiang Ai, Lele Qi, Yong Yue, Na Zhang, Lingling Wu, Jiahong Tan, Weilong |
author_sort | Luo, Yizhe |
collection | PubMed |
description | Scrub typhus, caused by Orientia tsutsugamushi, is a serious public health problem in the Asia-Pacific region, threatening the health of more than one billion people. China is one of the countries with the most serious disease burden of scrub typhus. Previous epidemiological evidence indicated that meteorological factors may affect the incidence of scrub typhus, but there was limited evidence for the correlation between local natural environment factors dominated by meteorological factors and scrub typhus. This study aimed to evaluate the correlation between monthly scrub typhus incidence and meteorological factors in areas with high scrub typhus prevalence using a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM). The monthly data on scrub typhus cases in ten provinces from 2006 to 2018 and meteorological parameters were obtained from the Public Health Science Data Center and the National Meteorological Data Sharing Center. The results of the single-variable and multiple-variable models showed a non-linear relationship between incidence and meteorological factors of mean temperature (Tmean), rainfall (RF), sunshine hours (SH), and relative humidity (RH). Taking the median of meteorological factors as the reference value, the relative risks (RRs) of monthly Tmean at 0°C, RH at 46%, and RF at 800 mm were most significant, with RRs of 2.28 (95% CI: 0.95–5.43), 1.71 (95% CI: 1.39–2.09), and 3.33 (95% CI: 1.89–5.86). In conclusion, relatively high temperature, high humidity, and favorable rainfall were associated with an increased risk of scrub typhus. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9628745 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-96287452022-11-03 How meteorological factors impacting on scrub typhus incidences in the main epidemic areas of 10 provinces, China, 2006–2018 Luo, Yizhe Zhang, Longyao Lv, Heng Zhu, Changqiang Ai, Lele Qi, Yong Yue, Na Zhang, Lingling Wu, Jiahong Tan, Weilong Front Public Health Public Health Scrub typhus, caused by Orientia tsutsugamushi, is a serious public health problem in the Asia-Pacific region, threatening the health of more than one billion people. China is one of the countries with the most serious disease burden of scrub typhus. Previous epidemiological evidence indicated that meteorological factors may affect the incidence of scrub typhus, but there was limited evidence for the correlation between local natural environment factors dominated by meteorological factors and scrub typhus. This study aimed to evaluate the correlation between monthly scrub typhus incidence and meteorological factors in areas with high scrub typhus prevalence using a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM). The monthly data on scrub typhus cases in ten provinces from 2006 to 2018 and meteorological parameters were obtained from the Public Health Science Data Center and the National Meteorological Data Sharing Center. The results of the single-variable and multiple-variable models showed a non-linear relationship between incidence and meteorological factors of mean temperature (Tmean), rainfall (RF), sunshine hours (SH), and relative humidity (RH). Taking the median of meteorological factors as the reference value, the relative risks (RRs) of monthly Tmean at 0°C, RH at 46%, and RF at 800 mm were most significant, with RRs of 2.28 (95% CI: 0.95–5.43), 1.71 (95% CI: 1.39–2.09), and 3.33 (95% CI: 1.89–5.86). In conclusion, relatively high temperature, high humidity, and favorable rainfall were associated with an increased risk of scrub typhus. Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-10-19 /pmc/articles/PMC9628745/ /pubmed/36339235 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.992555 Text en Copyright © 2022 Luo, Zhang, Lv, Zhu, Ai, Qi, Yue, Zhang, Wu and Tan. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms. |
spellingShingle | Public Health Luo, Yizhe Zhang, Longyao Lv, Heng Zhu, Changqiang Ai, Lele Qi, Yong Yue, Na Zhang, Lingling Wu, Jiahong Tan, Weilong How meteorological factors impacting on scrub typhus incidences in the main epidemic areas of 10 provinces, China, 2006–2018 |
title | How meteorological factors impacting on scrub typhus incidences in the main epidemic areas of 10 provinces, China, 2006–2018 |
title_full | How meteorological factors impacting on scrub typhus incidences in the main epidemic areas of 10 provinces, China, 2006–2018 |
title_fullStr | How meteorological factors impacting on scrub typhus incidences in the main epidemic areas of 10 provinces, China, 2006–2018 |
title_full_unstemmed | How meteorological factors impacting on scrub typhus incidences in the main epidemic areas of 10 provinces, China, 2006–2018 |
title_short | How meteorological factors impacting on scrub typhus incidences in the main epidemic areas of 10 provinces, China, 2006–2018 |
title_sort | how meteorological factors impacting on scrub typhus incidences in the main epidemic areas of 10 provinces, china, 2006–2018 |
topic | Public Health |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9628745/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36339235 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.992555 |
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