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Assessing strategic, tactical, and operational decision-making and risk in a livestock production chain through experimental simulation platforms

This paper provides a research summary of a series of serious games and simulations that form the basis of an experimental platform for the study of human decision-making and behavior associated with biosecurity across complex livestock production chains. This platform is the first of its kind to ad...

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Autores principales: Koliba, Christopher, Merrill, Scott C., Zia, Asim, Bucini, Gabriela, Clark, Eric, Shrum, Trisha R., Wiltshire, Serge, Smith, Julia M.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9634728/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36337194
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fvets.2022.962788
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author Koliba, Christopher
Merrill, Scott C.
Zia, Asim
Bucini, Gabriela
Clark, Eric
Shrum, Trisha R.
Wiltshire, Serge
Smith, Julia M.
author_facet Koliba, Christopher
Merrill, Scott C.
Zia, Asim
Bucini, Gabriela
Clark, Eric
Shrum, Trisha R.
Wiltshire, Serge
Smith, Julia M.
author_sort Koliba, Christopher
collection PubMed
description This paper provides a research summary of a series of serious games and simulations that form the basis of an experimental platform for the study of human decision-making and behavior associated with biosecurity across complex livestock production chains. This platform is the first of its kind to address the challenges associated with scaling micro-behavior of biosecurity decision-making to macro-patterns of disease spread across strategic, tactical and operational levels, capturing the roles that facility managers and front-line workers play in making biosecurity decisions under risk and uncertainty. Informational and incentive treatments are tested within each game and simulation. Behavioral theories are used to explain these findings. Results from serious games in the form of behavioral probability distributions are then used to simulate disease incidence and spread across a complex production chain, demonstrating how micro-level behaviors contribute to larger macro-level patterns. In the case of this study, the propensity to adopt micro-level biosecurity practices are applied to a network percolation disease spread model. By presenting the suite of companion models of behavior and disease spread we are able to capture scaling dynamics of complex systems, and in the process, better understand how individual behaviors impact whole systems.
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spelling pubmed-96347282022-11-05 Assessing strategic, tactical, and operational decision-making and risk in a livestock production chain through experimental simulation platforms Koliba, Christopher Merrill, Scott C. Zia, Asim Bucini, Gabriela Clark, Eric Shrum, Trisha R. Wiltshire, Serge Smith, Julia M. Front Vet Sci Veterinary Science This paper provides a research summary of a series of serious games and simulations that form the basis of an experimental platform for the study of human decision-making and behavior associated with biosecurity across complex livestock production chains. This platform is the first of its kind to address the challenges associated with scaling micro-behavior of biosecurity decision-making to macro-patterns of disease spread across strategic, tactical and operational levels, capturing the roles that facility managers and front-line workers play in making biosecurity decisions under risk and uncertainty. Informational and incentive treatments are tested within each game and simulation. Behavioral theories are used to explain these findings. Results from serious games in the form of behavioral probability distributions are then used to simulate disease incidence and spread across a complex production chain, demonstrating how micro-level behaviors contribute to larger macro-level patterns. In the case of this study, the propensity to adopt micro-level biosecurity practices are applied to a network percolation disease spread model. By presenting the suite of companion models of behavior and disease spread we are able to capture scaling dynamics of complex systems, and in the process, better understand how individual behaviors impact whole systems. Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-10-20 /pmc/articles/PMC9634728/ /pubmed/36337194 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fvets.2022.962788 Text en Copyright © 2022 Koliba, Merrill, Zia, Bucini, Clark, Shrum, Wiltshire and Smith. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
spellingShingle Veterinary Science
Koliba, Christopher
Merrill, Scott C.
Zia, Asim
Bucini, Gabriela
Clark, Eric
Shrum, Trisha R.
Wiltshire, Serge
Smith, Julia M.
Assessing strategic, tactical, and operational decision-making and risk in a livestock production chain through experimental simulation platforms
title Assessing strategic, tactical, and operational decision-making and risk in a livestock production chain through experimental simulation platforms
title_full Assessing strategic, tactical, and operational decision-making and risk in a livestock production chain through experimental simulation platforms
title_fullStr Assessing strategic, tactical, and operational decision-making and risk in a livestock production chain through experimental simulation platforms
title_full_unstemmed Assessing strategic, tactical, and operational decision-making and risk in a livestock production chain through experimental simulation platforms
title_short Assessing strategic, tactical, and operational decision-making and risk in a livestock production chain through experimental simulation platforms
title_sort assessing strategic, tactical, and operational decision-making and risk in a livestock production chain through experimental simulation platforms
topic Veterinary Science
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9634728/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36337194
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fvets.2022.962788
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