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The comparative burden of brain and central nervous system cancers from 1990 to 2019 between China and the United States and predicting the future burden
BACKGROUND: Brain and central nervous system (CNS) cancers represent a major source of cancer burden in China and the United States. Comparing the two countries' epidemiological features for brain and CNS cancers can help plan interventions and draw lessons. METHODS: Data were extracted from th...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Frontiers Media S.A.
2022
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9635888/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36339132 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.1018836 |
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author | Huang, Jiajia Li, Hanmei Yan, Hualing Li, Fen-Xiang Tang, Mai Lu, Da-Lin |
author_facet | Huang, Jiajia Li, Hanmei Yan, Hualing Li, Fen-Xiang Tang, Mai Lu, Da-Lin |
author_sort | Huang, Jiajia |
collection | PubMed |
description | BACKGROUND: Brain and central nervous system (CNS) cancers represent a major source of cancer burden in China and the United States. Comparing the two countries' epidemiological features for brain and CNS cancers can help plan interventions and draw lessons. METHODS: Data were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease repository. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) and relative risks of cancer burdens were calculated using joinpoint regression analysis and age-period-cohort (APC) models, respectively. Moreover, a Bayesian APC model was employed to predict the disease burden over the next decade. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the number of incidences, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) increased in China and the US, with a larger increase in China. Age-standardized incidence rates in China and the United States have shown an increasing trend over the past three decades, with AAPCs of 0.84 and 0.16%, respectively. However, the rates of age-standardized mortality and age-standardized DALYs decreased in both countries, with a greater decrease in China. Overall, age trends in cancer burden were similar for males and females, with two peaks in the childhood and elderly groups, respectively. The period and cohort effects on incidence showed an overall increasing trend in China and limited change in the US. However, the period effects for mortality and DALY were decreasing in both countries, while the cohort effects tended to increase and then decrease. Moreover, we predicted that the cancer burdens would continue to rise in China over the next decade. CONCLUSION: The burden of brain and CNS cancers is substantial and will continue to increase in China. Comprehensive policy and control measures need to be implemented to reduce the burden. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9635888 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-96358882022-11-05 The comparative burden of brain and central nervous system cancers from 1990 to 2019 between China and the United States and predicting the future burden Huang, Jiajia Li, Hanmei Yan, Hualing Li, Fen-Xiang Tang, Mai Lu, Da-Lin Front Public Health Public Health BACKGROUND: Brain and central nervous system (CNS) cancers represent a major source of cancer burden in China and the United States. Comparing the two countries' epidemiological features for brain and CNS cancers can help plan interventions and draw lessons. METHODS: Data were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease repository. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) and relative risks of cancer burdens were calculated using joinpoint regression analysis and age-period-cohort (APC) models, respectively. Moreover, a Bayesian APC model was employed to predict the disease burden over the next decade. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the number of incidences, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) increased in China and the US, with a larger increase in China. Age-standardized incidence rates in China and the United States have shown an increasing trend over the past three decades, with AAPCs of 0.84 and 0.16%, respectively. However, the rates of age-standardized mortality and age-standardized DALYs decreased in both countries, with a greater decrease in China. Overall, age trends in cancer burden were similar for males and females, with two peaks in the childhood and elderly groups, respectively. The period and cohort effects on incidence showed an overall increasing trend in China and limited change in the US. However, the period effects for mortality and DALY were decreasing in both countries, while the cohort effects tended to increase and then decrease. Moreover, we predicted that the cancer burdens would continue to rise in China over the next decade. CONCLUSION: The burden of brain and CNS cancers is substantial and will continue to increase in China. Comprehensive policy and control measures need to be implemented to reduce the burden. Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-10-21 /pmc/articles/PMC9635888/ /pubmed/36339132 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.1018836 Text en Copyright © 2022 Huang, Li, Yan, Li, Tang and Lu. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms. |
spellingShingle | Public Health Huang, Jiajia Li, Hanmei Yan, Hualing Li, Fen-Xiang Tang, Mai Lu, Da-Lin The comparative burden of brain and central nervous system cancers from 1990 to 2019 between China and the United States and predicting the future burden |
title | The comparative burden of brain and central nervous system cancers from 1990 to 2019 between China and the United States and predicting the future burden |
title_full | The comparative burden of brain and central nervous system cancers from 1990 to 2019 between China and the United States and predicting the future burden |
title_fullStr | The comparative burden of brain and central nervous system cancers from 1990 to 2019 between China and the United States and predicting the future burden |
title_full_unstemmed | The comparative burden of brain and central nervous system cancers from 1990 to 2019 between China and the United States and predicting the future burden |
title_short | The comparative burden of brain and central nervous system cancers from 1990 to 2019 between China and the United States and predicting the future burden |
title_sort | comparative burden of brain and central nervous system cancers from 1990 to 2019 between china and the united states and predicting the future burden |
topic | Public Health |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9635888/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36339132 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.1018836 |
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