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Chimeric forecasting: combining probabilistic predictions from computational models and human judgment

Forecasts of the trajectory of an infectious agent can help guide public health decision making. A traditional approach to forecasting fits a computational model to structured data and generates a predictive distribution. However, human judgment has access to the same data as computational models pl...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: McAndrew, Thomas, Codi, Allison, Cambeiro, Juan, Besiroglu, Tamay, Braun, David, Chen, Eva, De Cèsaris, Luis Enrique Urtubey, Luk, Damon
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BioMed Central 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9648897/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36357829
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07794-5