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Chimeric forecasting: combining probabilistic predictions from computational models and human judgment
Forecasts of the trajectory of an infectious agent can help guide public health decision making. A traditional approach to forecasting fits a computational model to structured data and generates a predictive distribution. However, human judgment has access to the same data as computational models pl...
Autores principales: | McAndrew, Thomas, Codi, Allison, Cambeiro, Juan, Besiroglu, Tamay, Braun, David, Chen, Eva, De Cèsaris, Luis Enrique Urtubey, Luk, Damon |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
BioMed Central
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9648897/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36357829 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07794-5 |
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