Diffusion-weighted imaging-based radiomics for predicting 1-year ischemic stroke recurrence

PURPOSE: To investigate radiomics based on DWI (diffusion-weighted imaging) for predicting 1-year ischemic stroke recurrence. METHODS: A total of 1,580 ischemic stroke patients were enrolled in this retrospective study conducted from January 2018 to April 2021. Demographic and clinical characteristics were compared between recurrence and non-recurrence groups. On DWI, lesions were segmented using a 2D U-Net automatic segmentation network. Further, radiomics feature extraction was done using the segmented mask matrix on DWI and the corresponding ADC map. Additionally, radiomics features were extracted. The study participants were divided into a training cohort (n = 157, 57 recurrence patients, and 100 non-recurrence patients) and a test cohort (n = 846, 28 recurrence patients, 818 non-recurrence patients). A sparse representation feature selection model was performed to select features. Further classification was accomplished using a recurrent neural network (RNN). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values was obtained for model performance. RESULTS: A total of 1,003 ischemic stroke patients (682 men and 321 women; mean age: 65.90 ± 12.44 years) were included in the final analysis. About 85 patients (8.5%) recurred in 1 year, and patients in the recurrence group were older than the non-recurrence group (P = 0.003). The stroke subtype was significantly different between recurrence and non-recurrence groups, and cardioembolic stroke (11.3%) and large artery atherosclerosis patients (10.3%) showed a higher recurrence percentage (P = 0.005). Secondary prevention after discharge (statins, antiplatelets, and anticoagulants) was found significantly different between the two groups (P = 0.004). The area under the curve (AUC) of clinical-based model and radiomics-based model were 0.675 (95% CI: 0.643–0.707) and 0.779 (95% CI: 0.750–0.807), respectively. With an AUC of 0.847 (95% CI: 0.821–0.870), the model that combined clinical and radiomic characteristics performed better. CONCLUSION: DWI-based radiomics could help to predict 1-year ischemic stroke recurrence.