A novel senescence-related lncRNA signature that predicts prognosis and the tumor microenvironment in patients with lung adenocarcinoma

Background: Cellular senescence has recently been considered a new cancer hallmark. However, the factors regulating cellular senescence have not been well characterized. The aim of this study is to identify long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) associated with senescence and prognosis in patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). Methods: Using RNA sequence data from the Cancer Genome Atlas Lung Adenocarcinoma (TCGA-LUAD) and senescence genes from the CellAge database, a subset of senescence-related lncRNAs was first identified. Then, using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, a senescence lncRNA signature (LUADSenLncSig) associated with LUAD prognosis was developed. Based on the median LUADSenLncSig risk score, LUAD patients were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare the overall survival (OS) in the high- and low-risk score subgroups. Differences in Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA), immune infiltration, tumor mutation burden (TMB), tumor immune dysfunction and exclusion (TIDE) module score, chemotherapy, and targeted therapy selection were also compared between the high-risk and low-risk groups. Results: A prognostic risk model was obtained consisting of the following nine senescence-related lncRNAs: LINC01116, AC005838.2, SH3PXD2A-AS1, VIMS-AS1, SH3BP5-AS1, AC092279.1, AC026355.1, AC027020.2, and LINC00996. The LUADSenLncSig high-risk group was associated with poor OS (hazard ratio = 1.17, 95% confidence interval = 1.102–1.242; p < 0.001). The accuracy of the model was further supported based on receiver operating characteristic (ROC), principal component analysis (PCA), and internal validation cohorts. In addition, a nomogram was developed consisting of LUADSenLncSig for LUAD prognosis, which is consistent with the actual probability of OS. Furthermore, immune infiltration analysis showed the low-risk group had a stronger anti-tumor immune response in the tumor microenvironment. Notably, the levels of immune checkpoint genes such as CTLA-4, PDCD-1, and CD274, and the TIDE scores were significantly higher in the low-risk subgroups than in high-risk subgroups (p < 0.001). This finding indicates the LUADSenLncSig can potentially predict immunotherapy efficacy. Conclusion: In this study, a lncRNA signature, LUADSenLncSig, that has dual functions of senescence phenotype identification and prognostic prediction as well as the potential to predict the LUAD response to immunotherapy was developed.