Cargando…

The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries

While the ongoing Russia–Ukraine war threatens global nutrition security, the magnitude and extent of its impact remain underexamined. Here we show that, with the lowest level of war duration, severity, sanction, and countries involved, the direct and indirect impacts of the war and sanctions could...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Deng, Zhongci, Li, Cai, Wang, Zhen, Kang, Ping, Hu, Yuanchao, Pan, Haozhi, Liu, Gang
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9670081/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36415866
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s43621-022-00112-8
_version_ 1784832262128271360
author Deng, Zhongci
Li, Cai
Wang, Zhen
Kang, Ping
Hu, Yuanchao
Pan, Haozhi
Liu, Gang
author_facet Deng, Zhongci
Li, Cai
Wang, Zhen
Kang, Ping
Hu, Yuanchao
Pan, Haozhi
Liu, Gang
author_sort Deng, Zhongci
collection PubMed
description While the ongoing Russia–Ukraine war threatens global nutrition security, the magnitude and extent of its impact remain underexamined. Here we show that, with the lowest level of war duration, severity, sanction, and countries involved, the direct and indirect impacts of the war and sanctions could newly place 67.3 million people (roughly equals the total population of France) in undernourishment and 316.7 million people (roughly equals the total population of Bangladesh and Russia) suffering from extreme national food insecurity. Approximately 95% of the affected population are from developing countries, highlighting the vulnerability of food supply in these countries. Both the undernourished population and its inequality across countries will substantially grow, if war duration and severity increase. If the war is prolonged to early 2024, future agricultural growth cannot fully offset the negative impacts, and global hunger will still very likely exacerbate. We conclude that targeted measures should be placed in developing countries and their vulnerable populations to reconstruct a just, healthy, and environmentally sustainable food system. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s43621-022-00112-8.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-9670081
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2022
publisher Springer International Publishing
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-96700812022-11-18 The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries Deng, Zhongci Li, Cai Wang, Zhen Kang, Ping Hu, Yuanchao Pan, Haozhi Liu, Gang Discov Sustain Case Study While the ongoing Russia–Ukraine war threatens global nutrition security, the magnitude and extent of its impact remain underexamined. Here we show that, with the lowest level of war duration, severity, sanction, and countries involved, the direct and indirect impacts of the war and sanctions could newly place 67.3 million people (roughly equals the total population of France) in undernourishment and 316.7 million people (roughly equals the total population of Bangladesh and Russia) suffering from extreme national food insecurity. Approximately 95% of the affected population are from developing countries, highlighting the vulnerability of food supply in these countries. Both the undernourished population and its inequality across countries will substantially grow, if war duration and severity increase. If the war is prolonged to early 2024, future agricultural growth cannot fully offset the negative impacts, and global hunger will still very likely exacerbate. We conclude that targeted measures should be placed in developing countries and their vulnerable populations to reconstruct a just, healthy, and environmentally sustainable food system. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s43621-022-00112-8. Springer International Publishing 2022-11-17 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC9670081/ /pubmed/36415866 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s43621-022-00112-8 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Case Study
Deng, Zhongci
Li, Cai
Wang, Zhen
Kang, Ping
Hu, Yuanchao
Pan, Haozhi
Liu, Gang
The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries
title The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries
title_full The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries
title_fullStr The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries
title_full_unstemmed The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries
title_short The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries
title_sort russia–ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries
topic Case Study
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9670081/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36415866
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s43621-022-00112-8
work_keys_str_mv AT dengzhongci therussiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries
AT licai therussiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries
AT wangzhen therussiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries
AT kangping therussiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries
AT huyuanchao therussiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries
AT panhaozhi therussiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries
AT liugang therussiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries
AT dengzhongci russiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries
AT licai russiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries
AT wangzhen russiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries
AT kangping russiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries
AT huyuanchao russiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries
AT panhaozhi russiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries
AT liugang russiaukrainewardisproportionatelythreatensthenutritionsecurityofdevelopingcountries