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Study of the Deep Processes of COVID-19 in Russia: Finding Ways to Identify Preventive Measures

The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had a huge impact on all areas of human life. Since the risk of biological threats will persist in the future, it is very important to ensure mobilization readiness for a prompt response to the possible emergence of epidemics of infectious d...

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Autores principales: Anyutin, Alexander P., Khodykina, Tatiana M., Akimova, Ekaterina I., Belova, Elena V., Shashina, Ekaterina A., Shcherbakov, Denis V., Makarova, Valentina V., Zabroda, Nadezhda N., Klimova, Anna A., Ermakova, Nina A., Isiutina-Fedotkova, Tatiana S., Zhernov, Yury V., Polibin, Roman V., Mitrokhin, Oleg V.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9690343/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36429433
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph192214714
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author Anyutin, Alexander P.
Khodykina, Tatiana M.
Akimova, Ekaterina I.
Belova, Elena V.
Shashina, Ekaterina A.
Shcherbakov, Denis V.
Makarova, Valentina V.
Zabroda, Nadezhda N.
Klimova, Anna A.
Ermakova, Nina A.
Isiutina-Fedotkova, Tatiana S.
Zhernov, Yury V.
Polibin, Roman V.
Mitrokhin, Oleg V.
author_facet Anyutin, Alexander P.
Khodykina, Tatiana M.
Akimova, Ekaterina I.
Belova, Elena V.
Shashina, Ekaterina A.
Shcherbakov, Denis V.
Makarova, Valentina V.
Zabroda, Nadezhda N.
Klimova, Anna A.
Ermakova, Nina A.
Isiutina-Fedotkova, Tatiana S.
Zhernov, Yury V.
Polibin, Roman V.
Mitrokhin, Oleg V.
author_sort Anyutin, Alexander P.
collection PubMed
description The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had a huge impact on all areas of human life. Since the risk of biological threats will persist in the future, it is very important to ensure mobilization readiness for a prompt response to the possible emergence of epidemics of infectious diseases. Therefore, from both a theoretical and practical standpoint, it is currently necessary to conduct a thorough examination of the COVID-19 epidemic. The goal of this research is to investigate the underlying processes that led to the COVID-19 pandemic in Russia and to identify ways to improve preventive measures and ensure mobilization readiness for a quick response to potential COVID-19-like pandemics. This research will analyze the daily dynamics of the number of infection cases and the number of new lethal cases of COVID-19. We analyzed the daily number of new cases of COVID-19 infection N(d), the daily number of new lethal cases L(d), their percentage ratio L(d)/N(d) 100% in Russia for 2 years of the pandemic (from the beginning of the pandemic to 23 March 2022), the rate of increase and decrease of these indicators (dN(d)/dd and dL(d)/dd), as well as their spectra created on the basis of wavelet analysis. Wavelet analysis of the deep structure of the N(d) and L(d) wavelet spectra made it possible to identify the presence of internal cycles, the study of which makes it possible to predict the presence of days with the maximum number of infections and new deaths in a pandemic similar to COVID-19 and outline ways and methods for improving preventive measures and measures to ensure mobilization readiness for a rapid response to the potential emergence of pandemics similar to COVID-19.
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spelling pubmed-96903432022-11-25 Study of the Deep Processes of COVID-19 in Russia: Finding Ways to Identify Preventive Measures Anyutin, Alexander P. Khodykina, Tatiana M. Akimova, Ekaterina I. Belova, Elena V. Shashina, Ekaterina A. Shcherbakov, Denis V. Makarova, Valentina V. Zabroda, Nadezhda N. Klimova, Anna A. Ermakova, Nina A. Isiutina-Fedotkova, Tatiana S. Zhernov, Yury V. Polibin, Roman V. Mitrokhin, Oleg V. Int J Environ Res Public Health Article The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had a huge impact on all areas of human life. Since the risk of biological threats will persist in the future, it is very important to ensure mobilization readiness for a prompt response to the possible emergence of epidemics of infectious diseases. Therefore, from both a theoretical and practical standpoint, it is currently necessary to conduct a thorough examination of the COVID-19 epidemic. The goal of this research is to investigate the underlying processes that led to the COVID-19 pandemic in Russia and to identify ways to improve preventive measures and ensure mobilization readiness for a quick response to potential COVID-19-like pandemics. This research will analyze the daily dynamics of the number of infection cases and the number of new lethal cases of COVID-19. We analyzed the daily number of new cases of COVID-19 infection N(d), the daily number of new lethal cases L(d), their percentage ratio L(d)/N(d) 100% in Russia for 2 years of the pandemic (from the beginning of the pandemic to 23 March 2022), the rate of increase and decrease of these indicators (dN(d)/dd and dL(d)/dd), as well as their spectra created on the basis of wavelet analysis. Wavelet analysis of the deep structure of the N(d) and L(d) wavelet spectra made it possible to identify the presence of internal cycles, the study of which makes it possible to predict the presence of days with the maximum number of infections and new deaths in a pandemic similar to COVID-19 and outline ways and methods for improving preventive measures and measures to ensure mobilization readiness for a rapid response to the potential emergence of pandemics similar to COVID-19. MDPI 2022-11-09 /pmc/articles/PMC9690343/ /pubmed/36429433 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph192214714 Text en © 2022 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Anyutin, Alexander P.
Khodykina, Tatiana M.
Akimova, Ekaterina I.
Belova, Elena V.
Shashina, Ekaterina A.
Shcherbakov, Denis V.
Makarova, Valentina V.
Zabroda, Nadezhda N.
Klimova, Anna A.
Ermakova, Nina A.
Isiutina-Fedotkova, Tatiana S.
Zhernov, Yury V.
Polibin, Roman V.
Mitrokhin, Oleg V.
Study of the Deep Processes of COVID-19 in Russia: Finding Ways to Identify Preventive Measures
title Study of the Deep Processes of COVID-19 in Russia: Finding Ways to Identify Preventive Measures
title_full Study of the Deep Processes of COVID-19 in Russia: Finding Ways to Identify Preventive Measures
title_fullStr Study of the Deep Processes of COVID-19 in Russia: Finding Ways to Identify Preventive Measures
title_full_unstemmed Study of the Deep Processes of COVID-19 in Russia: Finding Ways to Identify Preventive Measures
title_short Study of the Deep Processes of COVID-19 in Russia: Finding Ways to Identify Preventive Measures
title_sort study of the deep processes of covid-19 in russia: finding ways to identify preventive measures
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9690343/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36429433
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph192214714
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