Major adverse cardiovascular events in older emergency department patients presenting with non-cardiac medical complaints

OBJECTIVE: The risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) for older emergency department (ED) patients presenting with non-cardiac medical complaints is unknown. To apply preventive measures timely, early identification of high-risk patients is incredibly important. We aimed at investigating the incidence of MACE within one year after their ED visit and the predictive value of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and N‑terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for subsequent MACE. METHODS: This is a substudy of a Dutch prospective cohort study (RISE UP study) in older (≥ 65 years) medical ED patients who presented with non-cardiac complaints. Biomarkers were measured upon ED arrival. Cox-regression analysis was used to determine the predictive value of the biomarkers, when corrected for other possible predictors of MACE, and area under the curves (AUCs) were calculated. RESULTS: Of 431 patients with a median age of 79 years, 86 (20.0%) developed MACE within 1 year. Both hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP were predictive of MACE with an AUC of 0.74 (95% CI 0.68–0.80) for both, and a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.00 (95% CI 1.68–2.39) and 1.82 (95% CI 1.57–2.11) respectively. Multivariate analysis correcting for other possible predictors of MACE revealed NT-proBNP as an independent predictor of MACE. CONCLUSION: Older medical ED patients are at high risk of subsequent MACE within 1 year after their ED visit. While both hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP are predictive, only NT-proBNP is an independent predictor of MACE. It is likely that early identification of those at risk offers a window of opportunity for prevention. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version of this article (10.1007/s12471-022-01700-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.