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Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatial-Temporal Analysis of Tuberculosis at the County-Level in Shandong Province, China, 2016–2020
(1) Background: Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease that seriously endangers health and restricts economic and social development. Shandong Province has the second largest population in China with a high TB burden. This study aimed to detect the epidemic characteristics and spatio-temporal pa...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
MDPI
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9695586/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36355888 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed7110346 |
Sumario: | (1) Background: Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease that seriously endangers health and restricts economic and social development. Shandong Province has the second largest population in China with a high TB burden. This study aimed to detect the epidemic characteristics and spatio-temporal pattern of reported TB incidence in Shandong Province and provide a scientific basis to develop more effective strategies for TB prevention and control. (2) Methods: The age, gender, and occupational distribution characteristics of the cases were described. The Seasonal-Trend LOESS decomposition method, global spatial autocorrelation statistic, local spatial autocorrelation statistics, and spatial-temporal scanning were used to decompose time series, analyze the spatial aggregation, detect cold and hot spots, and analyze the spatio-temporal aggregation of reported incidence. (3) Results: A total of 135,185 TB cases were reported in Shandong Province during the five years 2016–2020. Men and farmers are the main populations of TB patients. The time-series of reported tuberculosis incidence had a long-term decreasing trend with clear seasonality. There was aggregation in the spatial distribution, and the areas with a high reported incidence of TB were mainly clustered in the northwest and southeast of Shandong. The temporal scan also yielded similar results. (4) Conclusions: Health policy authorities should develop targeted prevention and control measures based on epidemiological characteristics to prevent and control TB more effectively. |
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