A deep learning model based on whole slide images to predict disease-free survival in cutaneous melanoma patients

The application of deep learning on whole-slide histological images (WSIs) can reveal insights for clinical and basic tumor science investigations. Finding quantitative imaging biomarkers from WSIs directly for the prediction of disease-free survival (DFS) in stage I–III melanoma patients is crucial to optimize patient management. In this study, we designed a deep learning-based model with the aim of learning prognostic biomarkers from WSIs to predict 1-year DFS in cutaneous melanoma patients. First, WSIs referred to a cohort of 43 patients (31 DF cases, 12 non-DF cases) from the Clinical Proteomic Tumor Analysis Consortium Cutaneous Melanoma (CPTAC-CM) public database were firstly annotated by our expert pathologists and then automatically split into crops, which were later employed to train and validate the proposed model using a fivefold cross-validation scheme for 5 rounds. Then, the model was further validated on WSIs related to an independent test, i.e. a validation cohort of 11 melanoma patients (8 DF cases, 3 non-DF cases), whose data were collected from Istituto Tumori ‘Giovanni Paolo II’ in Bari, Italy. The quantitative imaging biomarkers extracted by the proposed model showed prognostic power, achieving a median AUC value of 69.5% and a median accuracy of 72.7% on the public cohort of patients. These results remained comparable on the validation cohort of patients with an AUC value of 66.7% and an accuracy value of 72.7%, respectively. This work is contributing to the recently undertaken investigation on how treat features extracted from raw WSIs to fulfil prognostic tasks involving melanoma patients. The promising results make this study as a valuable basis for future research investigation on wider cohorts of patients referred to our Institute.