Cargando…

Proactive visual prediction auditing the green eco-safety through backcasting approach booster by grey recruitment priority conceptual framework

Climate change is a challenge that endangers societal TBL elements' stability. The countries' economies focus on planning for reducing carbon emissions ‘CE’ and replacing them with low CE energy. This objective needs accurate prediction for CE till 2030 via recording the most significant v...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Abed, Ahmed M., AlArjani, Ali, Seddek, Laila F., Gaafar, Tamer S.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9708628/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36468107
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11729
_version_ 1784840978107990016
author Abed, Ahmed M.
AlArjani, Ali
Seddek, Laila F.
Gaafar, Tamer S.
author_facet Abed, Ahmed M.
AlArjani, Ali
Seddek, Laila F.
Gaafar, Tamer S.
author_sort Abed, Ahmed M.
collection PubMed
description Climate change is a challenge that endangers societal TBL elements' stability. The countries' economies focus on planning for reducing carbon emissions ‘CE’ and replacing them with low CE energy. This objective needs accurate prediction for CE till 2030 via recording the most significant variables related to CE causes. The variables ([Formula: see text]) are divided into two types tacking in phase I through two steps. The first step classifying the government policies that tackling by the backcasting approach to ranking them. The second step classifies the nature of the energy source which produces CE in Mega ton by SVM. The second phase is fed by phase I outputs to generate a series of prediction values by the LSTM, which is supported by the grey recruitment technique GRPT ([Formula: see text]) to reduce the forecasting errors. The proposed conceptual framework named (Green Eco-Safety Monitoring; GESM), which considered a methodology gathering the backcasting, SVM, and LSTM provided by GRPT ([Formula: see text]) in phase II. The paper tracks 21 governorates' CE. Proactive monitoring helps take corrective actions, enhancing the reduction in errors gap to less than 2.4%. The paper reveals that the industrial sector extracting CE at (38.67%) to 2020 with hopeful reduction of 1.72% annually if the government's interested in supporting carbon sinks, which drastically decreased to 1% by 2020 and to 0.72% annually by 2030.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-9708628
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2022
publisher Elsevier
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-97086282022-12-01 Proactive visual prediction auditing the green eco-safety through backcasting approach booster by grey recruitment priority conceptual framework Abed, Ahmed M. AlArjani, Ali Seddek, Laila F. Gaafar, Tamer S. Heliyon Research Article Climate change is a challenge that endangers societal TBL elements' stability. The countries' economies focus on planning for reducing carbon emissions ‘CE’ and replacing them with low CE energy. This objective needs accurate prediction for CE till 2030 via recording the most significant variables related to CE causes. The variables ([Formula: see text]) are divided into two types tacking in phase I through two steps. The first step classifying the government policies that tackling by the backcasting approach to ranking them. The second step classifies the nature of the energy source which produces CE in Mega ton by SVM. The second phase is fed by phase I outputs to generate a series of prediction values by the LSTM, which is supported by the grey recruitment technique GRPT ([Formula: see text]) to reduce the forecasting errors. The proposed conceptual framework named (Green Eco-Safety Monitoring; GESM), which considered a methodology gathering the backcasting, SVM, and LSTM provided by GRPT ([Formula: see text]) in phase II. The paper tracks 21 governorates' CE. Proactive monitoring helps take corrective actions, enhancing the reduction in errors gap to less than 2.4%. The paper reveals that the industrial sector extracting CE at (38.67%) to 2020 with hopeful reduction of 1.72% annually if the government's interested in supporting carbon sinks, which drastically decreased to 1% by 2020 and to 0.72% annually by 2030. Elsevier 2022-11-21 /pmc/articles/PMC9708628/ /pubmed/36468107 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11729 Text en © 2022 The Author(s) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
spellingShingle Research Article
Abed, Ahmed M.
AlArjani, Ali
Seddek, Laila F.
Gaafar, Tamer S.
Proactive visual prediction auditing the green eco-safety through backcasting approach booster by grey recruitment priority conceptual framework
title Proactive visual prediction auditing the green eco-safety through backcasting approach booster by grey recruitment priority conceptual framework
title_full Proactive visual prediction auditing the green eco-safety through backcasting approach booster by grey recruitment priority conceptual framework
title_fullStr Proactive visual prediction auditing the green eco-safety through backcasting approach booster by grey recruitment priority conceptual framework
title_full_unstemmed Proactive visual prediction auditing the green eco-safety through backcasting approach booster by grey recruitment priority conceptual framework
title_short Proactive visual prediction auditing the green eco-safety through backcasting approach booster by grey recruitment priority conceptual framework
title_sort proactive visual prediction auditing the green eco-safety through backcasting approach booster by grey recruitment priority conceptual framework
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9708628/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36468107
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11729
work_keys_str_mv AT abedahmedm proactivevisualpredictionauditingthegreenecosafetythroughbackcastingapproachboosterbygreyrecruitmentpriorityconceptualframework
AT alarjaniali proactivevisualpredictionauditingthegreenecosafetythroughbackcastingapproachboosterbygreyrecruitmentpriorityconceptualframework
AT seddeklailaf proactivevisualpredictionauditingthegreenecosafetythroughbackcastingapproachboosterbygreyrecruitmentpriorityconceptualframework
AT gaafartamers proactivevisualpredictionauditingthegreenecosafetythroughbackcastingapproachboosterbygreyrecruitmentpriorityconceptualframework