Coronary CT angiography and serum biomarkers are potential biomarkers for predicting MACE at three-months and one-year follow-up

AIMS: To assess the prognostic value of coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) and serum biomarkers for the prediction of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) at three-month and one-year follow-ups. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 720 patients with acute chest pain and normal electrocardiography (ECG) were included in the prospective cohort study. These patients received both coronary CTA screening and serum biomarkers testing, followed by three-month and one-year follow-ups for the occurrence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE). The primary outcome was the occurrence of MACE, which is defined as acute coronary syndrome (ACS), nonfatal MI, and all-cause mortality. The MACE rate was 17.8% (128 cases) and 25.2% (182 cases) at three-months and one-year follow-up. ApoB/apoA1(OR = 7.45, P < 0.001) and the number of atherosclerotic vessels (OR = 2.86, P < 0.001) were independent predictors for MACE at the three-month follow-up, so were apoB/apoA1 (OR = 5.23, P = 0.003), Serum amyloid protein A (SAA, OR = 1.04, P < 0.001) and the number of atherosclerotic vessels (OR = 2.54, P < 0.001) at the one-year follow-up. While apoB/apoA1 suggested its sensitivities of 84% for predicting MACE at three-month follow-ups, the number of atherosclerotic vessels had 81% specificity at one-year follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with acute chest pain and normal ECG, apoB/apoA1, SAA and the number of atherosclerotic vessels are the most powerful predictors of MACE at three-month and one-year follow-ups.