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A novel fractional order model of SARS-CoV-2 and Cholera disease with real data

This study presents a novel approach to investigating COVID-19 and Cholera disease. In this situation, a fractional-order model is created to investigate the COVID-19 and Cholera outbreaks in Congo. The existence, uniqueness, positivity, and boundedness of the solution are studied. The equilibrium p...

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Autores principales: Özköse, Fatma, Habbireeh, Rafla, Şenel, M. Tamer
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier B.V. 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9714208/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36471673
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cam.2022.114969
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author Özköse, Fatma
Habbireeh, Rafla
Şenel, M. Tamer
author_facet Özköse, Fatma
Habbireeh, Rafla
Şenel, M. Tamer
author_sort Özköse, Fatma
collection PubMed
description This study presents a novel approach to investigating COVID-19 and Cholera disease. In this situation, a fractional-order model is created to investigate the COVID-19 and Cholera outbreaks in Congo. The existence, uniqueness, positivity, and boundedness of the solution are studied. The equilibrium points and their stability conditions are achieved. Subsequently, the basic reproduction number (the virus transmission coefficient) is calculated that simply refers to the number of people, to whom an infected person can make infected, as [Formula: see text] by using the next generation matrix method. Next, the sensitivity analysis of the parameters is performed according to [Formula: see text]. To determine the values of the parameters in the model, the least squares curve fitting method is utilized. A total of 22 parameter values in the model are estimated by using real Cholera data from Congo. Finally, to find out the dynamic behavior of the system, numerical simulations are presented. The outcome of the study indicates that the severity of the Cholera epidemic cases will decrease with the decrease in cases of COVID-19, through the implementation and follow-up of safety measures that have been taken to reduce COVID-19 cases.
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spelling pubmed-97142082022-12-01 A novel fractional order model of SARS-CoV-2 and Cholera disease with real data Özköse, Fatma Habbireeh, Rafla Şenel, M. Tamer J Comput Appl Math Article This study presents a novel approach to investigating COVID-19 and Cholera disease. In this situation, a fractional-order model is created to investigate the COVID-19 and Cholera outbreaks in Congo. The existence, uniqueness, positivity, and boundedness of the solution are studied. The equilibrium points and their stability conditions are achieved. Subsequently, the basic reproduction number (the virus transmission coefficient) is calculated that simply refers to the number of people, to whom an infected person can make infected, as [Formula: see text] by using the next generation matrix method. Next, the sensitivity analysis of the parameters is performed according to [Formula: see text]. To determine the values of the parameters in the model, the least squares curve fitting method is utilized. A total of 22 parameter values in the model are estimated by using real Cholera data from Congo. Finally, to find out the dynamic behavior of the system, numerical simulations are presented. The outcome of the study indicates that the severity of the Cholera epidemic cases will decrease with the decrease in cases of COVID-19, through the implementation and follow-up of safety measures that have been taken to reduce COVID-19 cases. Elsevier B.V. 2023-05-15 2022-12-01 /pmc/articles/PMC9714208/ /pubmed/36471673 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cam.2022.114969 Text en © 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Özköse, Fatma
Habbireeh, Rafla
Şenel, M. Tamer
A novel fractional order model of SARS-CoV-2 and Cholera disease with real data
title A novel fractional order model of SARS-CoV-2 and Cholera disease with real data
title_full A novel fractional order model of SARS-CoV-2 and Cholera disease with real data
title_fullStr A novel fractional order model of SARS-CoV-2 and Cholera disease with real data
title_full_unstemmed A novel fractional order model of SARS-CoV-2 and Cholera disease with real data
title_short A novel fractional order model of SARS-CoV-2 and Cholera disease with real data
title_sort novel fractional order model of sars-cov-2 and cholera disease with real data
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9714208/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36471673
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cam.2022.114969
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