The trend and direct costs of screening and chemotherapy treatment of breast cancer in the new coronavirus pandemic: total and interrupted time series study

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has overloaded the healthcare systems of many countries and reduced the population’s access to treatment and prevention of other diseases. This study aims to assess whether the COVID-19 pandemic has negatively interfered with the trend and the direct costs of screening and chemotherapy treatment of breast cancer in a public and universal healthcare system. METHOD: This was an ecological time series study using an open database of a public and universal health system from 2017 to 2021. RESULTS: In 2020, there was a 41% reduction in the coverage rate of breast cancer screening in women aged 50 to 69 years (about 1 million mammograms missed). The total direct cost of breast cancer screening reduced proportionally to the number of tests (BRL 67 million). On the other hand, the cost of chemotherapy treatment was higher in 2020, both in advanced (BRL 465 million) and localized (BRL 113 million) diseases. In the time series, mammograms’ trend and direct costs changed from stationary to decreasing after the COVID-19 pandemic. The trend of direct costs with chemotherapy treatment for the advanced disease has been increasing and has not changed after the COVID-19 pandemic. On the other hand, in the case of localized disease, there was a trend toward reducing direct costs after the pandemic. CONCLUSION: After COVID-19, there was a downward trend in breast cancer screening and its direct costs, an upward trend in chemotherapy costs for advanced disease, and a downward trend in chemotherapy costs for localized disease.