Evaluation of the local decoupling of livestock and cropland in the Huang-Huai-Hai region

Decoupling livestock and cropland production at regional scale have poor resource-use efficiency and detrimental effects on environment in China. It is therefore necessary to identify the decoupled livestock and cropland production system and make recommendations to recouple livestock and cropland. This study used the indexes of land carrying capacity (LCC), animal manure absorption capacity (AMAC), and risk warning value (R) to evaluate the coupling between cropland and livestock at the local scale in the Huang-Huai-Hai region. The decoupling of cropland and livestock in the case of Beijing (SY_BJ) was found assessed with lower theoretical value of LCC and higher theoretical value of AMAC compared with local actual situation, categorized as grade IV with a high R value (above 1). Contrary results were found that the livestock and cropland production systems were coupled at the local scale in the cases located in Hebei and Shandong Provinces, categorized as grade I or II. Two measures were used to optimize the decoupled case by adjusting the ratio of manure to fertilization or reducing breeding quantity. The decoupled case of SY_BJ could be optimized by adjusting the ratio of manure to fertilization (95.34% based on nitrogen and 81.97% based on phosphorus, respectively). The breeding quantity in this case should be reduced by at least 46% to recouple the livestock and cropland at the local level to manage nutrient surpluses from livestock and poultry breeding. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11356-022-21993-2.