Tubular Secretion and Estimated GFR Decline in the Jackson Heart Study

INTRODUCTION: Secretion of solutes by the proximal tubules represents an intrinsic kidney function not directly reflected by the glomerular filtration rate (GFR). The early loss of secretory clearance may reflect unrecognized kidney dysfunction, portending future disease progression. METHODS: We designed a nested case-control study within the Jackson Heart Study (JHS), a prospective study of African American adults in Mississippi, to associate baseline differences in proximal tubular secretion of 5 endogenously produced solutes with future estimated glomerular rate (eGFR) decline. We matched 127 pairs by creatinine-eGFR, age, diabetes, and sex among the patients who provided a 24-hour urine collection; cases had a ≥25% decline in eGFR compared to <10% in controls over 10 years of follow-up. We measured baseline plasma and urine concentrations of secretory solutes using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry to determine the odds ratio of kidney disease progression. RESULTS: Mean age was 60 years; 76% were women; 30% had diabetes; mean baseline eGFR was 94±20 ml/min per 1.73 m(2). The eGFR decline over 10 years was 38±13% in cases and 0±10% in controls. After adjustment for the matching variables plus albuminuria, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, and smoking, each 50% lower kidney clearance of isovalerylglycine, kynurenic acid, and xanthosine were associated with 1.4 to 2.2 greater odds of eGFR decline. Kynurenic acid exhibited the strongest association; each 50% lower clearance of this secretory solute was associated with 2.20-fold higher odds of eGFR decline (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.32–3.67). CONCLUSION: We found that in this community-based study of adults without significant kidney disease, lower proximal tubular secretory solute clearance is associated with future eGFR decline.