The Impact of Extreme Temperature Shocks on the Health Status of the Elderly in China

With the accelerating process of climate change, long-term exposure to extreme temperatures could threaten individuals’ physical health, especially for the vulnerable population. This paper aims to investigate the long-term effects of extreme temperature exposure on the health of the elderly in the context of climate change and aging. Different from most of the existing literature in environmental economics, we define the relative extreme temperature exposure based on the local temperature pattern. By combining a large national household survey and nationwide meteorologic historical data, this study provides empirical evidence that heat exposure days and cold exposure days during the past year both significantly affect the physical health of middle-aged and elderly groups, controlling for city, year, and individual fixed effects. The effect on individual physical health has certain seasonal characteristics and is heterogeneous across populations. Additionally, cooling and heating equipment are effective in alleviating the reverse impact of heat and cold exposure. The estimation is robust and consistent across a variety of temperature measurements and model modifications. Our findings provide evidence of the long-term and accumulative cost of extreme temperature to middle-aged and elderly human capital, contributing to helping the public to better understand the full impact of climate change.