The case against probabilistic inference: a new deterministic theory of 3D visual processing

How the brain derives 3D information from inherently ambiguous visual input remains the fundamental question of human vision. The past two decades of research have addressed this question as a problem of probabilistic inference, the dominant model being maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE). This model assumes that independent depth-cue modules derive noisy but statistically accurate estimates of 3D scene parameters that are combined through a weighted average. Cue weights are adjusted based on the system representation of each module's output variability. Here I demonstrate that the MLE model fails to account for important psychophysical findings and, importantly, misinterprets the just noticeable difference, a hallmark measure of stimulus discriminability, to be an estimate of perceptual uncertainty. I propose a new theory, termed Intrinsic Constraint, which postulates that the visual system does not derive the most probable interpretation of the visual input, but rather, the most stable interpretation amid variations in viewing conditions. This goal is achieved with the Vector Sum model, which represents individual cue estimates as components of a multi-dimensional vector whose norm determines the combined output. This model accounts for the psychophysical findings cited in support of MLE, while predicting existing and new findings that contradict the MLE model. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue ‘New approaches to 3D vision’.