Interictal epileptiform discharges as a predictive biomarker for recurrence of poststroke epilepsy

Poststroke epilepsy is a major ischaemic/haemorrhagic stroke complication. Seizure recurrence risk estimation and early therapeutic intervention are critical, given the association of poststroke epilepsy with worse functional outcomes, quality of life and greater mortality. Several studies have reported risk factors for seizure recurrence; however, in poststroke epilepsy, the role of EEG in predicting the risk of seizures remains unclear. This multicentre observational study aimed to clarify whether EEG findings constitute a risk factor for seizure recurrence in patients with poststroke epilepsy. Patients with poststroke epilepsy were recruited from the PROgnosis of POst-Stroke Epilepsy study, an observational multicentre cohort study. The enrolled patients with poststroke epilepsy were those admitted at selected hospitals between November 2014 and June 2017. All patients underwent EEG during the interictal period during admission to each hospital and were monitored for seizure recurrence over 1 year. Board-certified neurologists or epileptologists evaluated all EEG findings. We investigated the relationship between EEG findings and seizure recurrence. Among 187 patients with poststroke epilepsy (65 were women with a median age of 75 years) admitted to the lead hospital, 48 (25.7%) had interictal epileptiform discharges on EEG. During the follow-up period (median, 397 days; interquartile range, 337–450 days), interictal epileptiform discharges were positively correlated with seizure recurrence (hazard ratio, 3.82; 95% confidence interval, 2.09–6.97; P < 0.01). The correlation remained significant even after adjusting for age, sex, severity of stroke, type of stroke and generation of antiseizure medications. We detected periodic discharges in 39 patients (20.9%), and spiky/sharp periodic discharges were marginally associated with seizure recurrence (hazard ratio, 1.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.93–3.69; P = 0.08). Analysis of a validation cohort comprising 187 patients with poststroke epilepsy from seven other hospitals corroborated the association between interictal epileptiform discharges and seizure recurrence. We verified that interictal epileptiform discharges are a risk factor for seizure recurrence in patients with poststroke epilepsy. Routine EEG may facilitate the estimation of seizure recurrence risk and the development of therapeutic regimens for poststroke epilepsy.