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Fiscal policy during a pandemic
I study the effects of the 2020 coronavirus outbreak in the United States and subsequent fiscal policy response in a nonlinear DSGE model. The pandemic is a shock to the utility of contact-intensive services that propagates to other sectors via general equilibrium, triggering a deep recession. I use...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier B.V.
2021
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9754722/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36540418 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104088 |
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author | Faria-e-Castro, Miguel |
author_facet | Faria-e-Castro, Miguel |
author_sort | Faria-e-Castro, Miguel |
collection | PubMed |
description | I study the effects of the 2020 coronavirus outbreak in the United States and subsequent fiscal policy response in a nonlinear DSGE model. The pandemic is a shock to the utility of contact-intensive services that propagates to other sectors via general equilibrium, triggering a deep recession. I use a calibrated version of the model that matches the path of the US unemployment rate in 2020 to analyze different types of fiscal policies. I find that the pandemic shock changes the ranking of policy multipliers. Unemployment benefits are the most effective tool to stabilize income for borrowers, who are the hardest hit during a pandemic, while liquidity assistance programs are the most effective if the policy objective is to stabilize employment in the affected sector. I also study the effects of the $2.2 trillion CARES Act of 2020. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9754722 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Elsevier B.V. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-97547222022-12-16 Fiscal policy during a pandemic Faria-e-Castro, Miguel J Econ Dyn Control Article I study the effects of the 2020 coronavirus outbreak in the United States and subsequent fiscal policy response in a nonlinear DSGE model. The pandemic is a shock to the utility of contact-intensive services that propagates to other sectors via general equilibrium, triggering a deep recession. I use a calibrated version of the model that matches the path of the US unemployment rate in 2020 to analyze different types of fiscal policies. I find that the pandemic shock changes the ranking of policy multipliers. Unemployment benefits are the most effective tool to stabilize income for borrowers, who are the hardest hit during a pandemic, while liquidity assistance programs are the most effective if the policy objective is to stabilize employment in the affected sector. I also study the effects of the $2.2 trillion CARES Act of 2020. Elsevier B.V. 2021-04 2021-02-16 /pmc/articles/PMC9754722/ /pubmed/36540418 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104088 Text en © 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Faria-e-Castro, Miguel Fiscal policy during a pandemic |
title | Fiscal policy during a pandemic |
title_full | Fiscal policy during a pandemic |
title_fullStr | Fiscal policy during a pandemic |
title_full_unstemmed | Fiscal policy during a pandemic |
title_short | Fiscal policy during a pandemic |
title_sort | fiscal policy during a pandemic |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9754722/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36540418 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104088 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT fariaecastromiguel fiscalpolicyduringapandemic |