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Political uncertainty, COVID-19 pandemic and stock market volatility transmission

News about referendums and the ongoing evolution of a global contagious increase uncertainty about the development of economic fundamentals reflected by increased volatility in the financial markets. In this paper, employing volatility impulse response functions and assessing the volatility spillove...

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Autores principales: Apostolakis, George N., Floros, Christos, Gkillas, Konstantinos, Wohar, Mark
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier B.V. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9759343/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2021.101383
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author Apostolakis, George N.
Floros, Christos
Gkillas, Konstantinos
Wohar, Mark
author_facet Apostolakis, George N.
Floros, Christos
Gkillas, Konstantinos
Wohar, Mark
author_sort Apostolakis, George N.
collection PubMed
description News about referendums and the ongoing evolution of a global contagious increase uncertainty about the development of economic fundamentals reflected by increased volatility in the financial markets. In this paper, employing volatility impulse response functions and assessing the volatility spillovers we examine intra-market volatility transmission in the Athens stock market. We employ a large sample period of daily data that spans from December 1999 to December 2020 and captures major events of the last 20 years especially related to the announcement of the two referendums during the Greek government-debt crisis in 2010 and the economic and political turmoil that increased country instability, the following years, the BREXIT referendum and the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020. Our results demonstrate that negative shocks during the announcement of the referendum produce larger impulse responses than during the announcement of the country lockdowns. Furthermore, we shed light on the existence of the dynamic relationship of volatility spillovers. Volatility spillovers peaked during the COVID-19 pandemic. Dynamic spillover plots demonstrate that during the COVID-19 pandemic, more volatility is transmitted by mid cap firms to large cap firms. Our findings have implications to market participants, policy makers and market regulators.
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spelling pubmed-97593432022-12-19 Political uncertainty, COVID-19 pandemic and stock market volatility transmission Apostolakis, George N. Floros, Christos Gkillas, Konstantinos Wohar, Mark Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money Article News about referendums and the ongoing evolution of a global contagious increase uncertainty about the development of economic fundamentals reflected by increased volatility in the financial markets. In this paper, employing volatility impulse response functions and assessing the volatility spillovers we examine intra-market volatility transmission in the Athens stock market. We employ a large sample period of daily data that spans from December 1999 to December 2020 and captures major events of the last 20 years especially related to the announcement of the two referendums during the Greek government-debt crisis in 2010 and the economic and political turmoil that increased country instability, the following years, the BREXIT referendum and the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020. Our results demonstrate that negative shocks during the announcement of the referendum produce larger impulse responses than during the announcement of the country lockdowns. Furthermore, we shed light on the existence of the dynamic relationship of volatility spillovers. Volatility spillovers peaked during the COVID-19 pandemic. Dynamic spillover plots demonstrate that during the COVID-19 pandemic, more volatility is transmitted by mid cap firms to large cap firms. Our findings have implications to market participants, policy makers and market regulators. Elsevier B.V. 2021-09 2021-07-16 /pmc/articles/PMC9759343/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2021.101383 Text en © 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Apostolakis, George N.
Floros, Christos
Gkillas, Konstantinos
Wohar, Mark
Political uncertainty, COVID-19 pandemic and stock market volatility transmission
title Political uncertainty, COVID-19 pandemic and stock market volatility transmission
title_full Political uncertainty, COVID-19 pandemic and stock market volatility transmission
title_fullStr Political uncertainty, COVID-19 pandemic and stock market volatility transmission
title_full_unstemmed Political uncertainty, COVID-19 pandemic and stock market volatility transmission
title_short Political uncertainty, COVID-19 pandemic and stock market volatility transmission
title_sort political uncertainty, covid-19 pandemic and stock market volatility transmission
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9759343/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2021.101383
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