How urbanization affects residents’ health risks: evidence from China

Continued urbanization requires a deep understanding of how urbanization affects residents’ health risks. This study used regression analysis of Chinese provincial-level panel data from 2004 to 2019 and empirically analyzed the nonlinear effects of urbanization on health risks and regional differences using STIRPAT model. Health risks were assessed by the average number of residents’ visits to medical facilities and population mortality. We also examined the moderating effect of income and environmental factors. The results show that (1) urbanization increases the average number of residents’ visits and reduces population mortality. The positive effect of urbanization in increasing the average number of visits is reinforced by an increase in income level and environmental pollution, whereas the negative effect of urbanization in reducing population mortality is weakened by environmental pollution. (2) Regarding long-term trends, urbanization has an N-shaped relationship with the average number of residents’ visits, and a U-shaped relationship with population mortality; (3) Urbanization has an N-shaped relationship with the average number of residents’ visits in the eastern, central, and western regions and an inverted N-shaped relationship with population mortality in the eastern region. Urbanization has significant effects on residents’ health risks in areas with high levels of infrastructure. According to the results, suggestions are proposed, such as developing new-type urbanization, improving infrastructure, focusing on green urbanization, and promoting national fitness programs. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11356-022-24767-y.