Development and validation of a deep learning system to classify aetiology and predict anatomical outcomes of macular hole

AIMS: To develop a deep learning (DL) model for automatic classification of macular hole (MH) aetiology (idiopathic or secondary), and a multimodal deep fusion network (MDFN) model for reliable prediction of MH status (closed or open) at 1 month after vitrectomy and internal limiting membrane peeling (VILMP). METHODS: In this multicentre retrospective cohort study, a total of 330 MH eyes with 1082 optical coherence tomography (OCT) images and 3300 clinical data enrolled from four ophthalmic centres were used to train, validate and externally test the DL and MDFN models. 266 eyes from three centres were randomly split by eye-level into a training set (80%) and a validation set (20%). In the external testing dataset, 64 eyes were included from the remaining centre. All eyes underwent macular OCT scanning at baseline and 1 month after VILMP. The area under the receiver operated characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, specificity and sensitivity were used to evaluate the performance of the models. RESULTS: In the external testing set, the AUC, accuracy, specificity and sensitivity of the MH aetiology classification model were 0.965, 0.950, 0.870 and 0.938, respectively; the AUC, accuracy, specificity and sensitivity of the postoperative MH status prediction model were 0.904, 0.825, 0.977 and 0.766, respectively; the AUC, accuracy, specificity and sensitivity of the postoperative idiopathic MH status prediction model were 0.947, 0.875, 0.815 and 0.979, respectively. CONCLUSION: Our DL-based models can accurately classify the MH aetiology and predict the MH status after VILMP. These models would help ophthalmologists in diagnosis and surgical planning of MH.