Cargando…

Exploring human mixing patterns based on time use and social contact data and their implications for infectious disease transmission models

BACKGROUND: The increasing availability of data on social contact patterns and time use provides invaluable information for studying transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. Social contact data provide information on the interaction of people in a population whereas the value of time use data l...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Hoang, Thang Van, Willem, Lander, Coletti, Pietro, Van Kerckhove, Kim, Minnen, Joeri, Beutels, Philippe, Hens, Niel
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: BioMed Central 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9764639/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36536314
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07917-y
_version_ 1784853314554298368
author Hoang, Thang Van
Willem, Lander
Coletti, Pietro
Van Kerckhove, Kim
Minnen, Joeri
Beutels, Philippe
Hens, Niel
author_facet Hoang, Thang Van
Willem, Lander
Coletti, Pietro
Van Kerckhove, Kim
Minnen, Joeri
Beutels, Philippe
Hens, Niel
author_sort Hoang, Thang Van
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: The increasing availability of data on social contact patterns and time use provides invaluable information for studying transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. Social contact data provide information on the interaction of people in a population whereas the value of time use data lies in the quantification of exposure patterns. Both have been used as proxies for transmission risks within in a population and the combination of both sources has led to investigate which contacts are more suitable to describe these transmission risks. METHODS: We used social contact and time use data from 1707 participants from a survey conducted in Flanders, Belgium in 2010–2011. We calculated weighted exposure time and social contact matrices to analyze age- and gender-specific mixing patterns and to quantify behavioral changes by distance from home. We compared the value of both separate and combined data sources for explaining seroprevalence and incidence data on parvovirus-B19, Varicella-Zoster virus (VZV) and influenza like illnesses (ILI), respectively. RESULTS: Assortative mixing and inter-generational interaction is more pronounced in the exposure matrix due to the high proportion of time spent at home. This pattern is less pronounced in the social contact matrix, which is more impacted by the reported contacts at school and work. The average number of contacts declined with distance. On the individual-level, we observed an increase in the number of contacts and the transmission potential by distance when travelling. We found that both social contact data and time use data provide a good match with the seroprevalence and incidence data at hand. When comparing the use of different combinations of both data sources, we found that the social contact matrix based on close contacts of at least 4 h appeared to be the best proxy for parvovirus-B19 transmission. Social contacts and exposure time were both on their own able to explain VZV seroprevalence data though combining both scored best. Compared with the contact approach, the time use approach provided the better fit to the ILI incidence data. CONCLUSIONS: Our work emphasises the common and complementary value of time use and social contact data for analysing mixing behavior and analysing infectious disease transmission. We derived spatial, temporal, age-, gender- and distance-specific mixing patterns, which are informative for future modelling studies. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-022-07917-y.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-9764639
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2022
publisher BioMed Central
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-97646392022-12-21 Exploring human mixing patterns based on time use and social contact data and their implications for infectious disease transmission models Hoang, Thang Van Willem, Lander Coletti, Pietro Van Kerckhove, Kim Minnen, Joeri Beutels, Philippe Hens, Niel BMC Infect Dis Research BACKGROUND: The increasing availability of data on social contact patterns and time use provides invaluable information for studying transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. Social contact data provide information on the interaction of people in a population whereas the value of time use data lies in the quantification of exposure patterns. Both have been used as proxies for transmission risks within in a population and the combination of both sources has led to investigate which contacts are more suitable to describe these transmission risks. METHODS: We used social contact and time use data from 1707 participants from a survey conducted in Flanders, Belgium in 2010–2011. We calculated weighted exposure time and social contact matrices to analyze age- and gender-specific mixing patterns and to quantify behavioral changes by distance from home. We compared the value of both separate and combined data sources for explaining seroprevalence and incidence data on parvovirus-B19, Varicella-Zoster virus (VZV) and influenza like illnesses (ILI), respectively. RESULTS: Assortative mixing and inter-generational interaction is more pronounced in the exposure matrix due to the high proportion of time spent at home. This pattern is less pronounced in the social contact matrix, which is more impacted by the reported contacts at school and work. The average number of contacts declined with distance. On the individual-level, we observed an increase in the number of contacts and the transmission potential by distance when travelling. We found that both social contact data and time use data provide a good match with the seroprevalence and incidence data at hand. When comparing the use of different combinations of both data sources, we found that the social contact matrix based on close contacts of at least 4 h appeared to be the best proxy for parvovirus-B19 transmission. Social contacts and exposure time were both on their own able to explain VZV seroprevalence data though combining both scored best. Compared with the contact approach, the time use approach provided the better fit to the ILI incidence data. CONCLUSIONS: Our work emphasises the common and complementary value of time use and social contact data for analysing mixing behavior and analysing infectious disease transmission. We derived spatial, temporal, age-, gender- and distance-specific mixing patterns, which are informative for future modelling studies. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-022-07917-y. BioMed Central 2022-12-19 /pmc/articles/PMC9764639/ /pubmed/36536314 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07917-y Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) ) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.
spellingShingle Research
Hoang, Thang Van
Willem, Lander
Coletti, Pietro
Van Kerckhove, Kim
Minnen, Joeri
Beutels, Philippe
Hens, Niel
Exploring human mixing patterns based on time use and social contact data and their implications for infectious disease transmission models
title Exploring human mixing patterns based on time use and social contact data and their implications for infectious disease transmission models
title_full Exploring human mixing patterns based on time use and social contact data and their implications for infectious disease transmission models
title_fullStr Exploring human mixing patterns based on time use and social contact data and their implications for infectious disease transmission models
title_full_unstemmed Exploring human mixing patterns based on time use and social contact data and their implications for infectious disease transmission models
title_short Exploring human mixing patterns based on time use and social contact data and their implications for infectious disease transmission models
title_sort exploring human mixing patterns based on time use and social contact data and their implications for infectious disease transmission models
topic Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9764639/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36536314
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07917-y
work_keys_str_mv AT hoangthangvan exploringhumanmixingpatternsbasedontimeuseandsocialcontactdataandtheirimplicationsforinfectiousdiseasetransmissionmodels
AT willemlander exploringhumanmixingpatternsbasedontimeuseandsocialcontactdataandtheirimplicationsforinfectiousdiseasetransmissionmodels
AT colettipietro exploringhumanmixingpatternsbasedontimeuseandsocialcontactdataandtheirimplicationsforinfectiousdiseasetransmissionmodels
AT vankerckhovekim exploringhumanmixingpatternsbasedontimeuseandsocialcontactdataandtheirimplicationsforinfectiousdiseasetransmissionmodels
AT minnenjoeri exploringhumanmixingpatternsbasedontimeuseandsocialcontactdataandtheirimplicationsforinfectiousdiseasetransmissionmodels
AT beutelsphilippe exploringhumanmixingpatternsbasedontimeuseandsocialcontactdataandtheirimplicationsforinfectiousdiseasetransmissionmodels
AT hensniel exploringhumanmixingpatternsbasedontimeuseandsocialcontactdataandtheirimplicationsforinfectiousdiseasetransmissionmodels