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Transportation, the pathogen vector to rule them all: Evidence from the recent coronavirus pandemic

INTRODUCTION: It is common knowledge that mobility refers to a distinct vector for pathogens, but the importance of prevention and the infusion of public health practices within transportation systems is not manifest. Replication studies of this effect are important because transportation remains ve...

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Autores principales: Stavroulakis, Peter J., Tzora, Vasiliki A., Riza, Elena, Papadimitriou, Stratos
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9765011/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36570714
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jth.2021.101087
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author Stavroulakis, Peter J.
Tzora, Vasiliki A.
Riza, Elena
Papadimitriou, Stratos
author_facet Stavroulakis, Peter J.
Tzora, Vasiliki A.
Riza, Elena
Papadimitriou, Stratos
author_sort Stavroulakis, Peter J.
collection PubMed
description INTRODUCTION: It is common knowledge that mobility refers to a distinct vector for pathogens, but the importance of prevention and the infusion of public health practices within transportation systems is not manifest. Replication studies of this effect are important because transportation remains veiled in modern societies, since its demand is not direct, but derived. METHODS: Variables mirroring transportation and logistics' systems intensity (trade data, the logistics performance index, and investment in transportation) are cross-tabulated with epidemiological data from the recent coronavirus pandemic. As the samples of the data pertain to a dependent commonality, the statistical hypothesis test applicable is McNemar's test. In addition, the statistical power of the test(s) is calculated as a marker of methodological validity and reliability. To further strengthen the analytical methodology, a plethora of descriptive statistics have been calculated and multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) has been conducted. RESULTS: This work confirms that the domain of transportation bears a strong association with not only mortality of a disease, but its recovery rates as well. All crosstabs provide statistically significant results and the statistical power calculated is very high, signifying the appropriateness of the methodology and the very low probability of Type II error. The MCA results are significant, as well. CONCLUSIONS: The impact, or even the presence of transportation is veiled, as transportation comprises of derived demand dynamics. As such, its activities and even the prerequisites for its efficient operations many times go unnoticed. This work replicates a known effect, that mobility exacerbates the presence of a pathogen. The significance of this research lies on the fact that distinct indicators that reflect transportation and logistics are (though a robust calculatory methodology) statistically associated with epidemiological data.
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spelling pubmed-97650112022-12-21 Transportation, the pathogen vector to rule them all: Evidence from the recent coronavirus pandemic Stavroulakis, Peter J. Tzora, Vasiliki A. Riza, Elena Papadimitriou, Stratos J Transp Health Article INTRODUCTION: It is common knowledge that mobility refers to a distinct vector for pathogens, but the importance of prevention and the infusion of public health practices within transportation systems is not manifest. Replication studies of this effect are important because transportation remains veiled in modern societies, since its demand is not direct, but derived. METHODS: Variables mirroring transportation and logistics' systems intensity (trade data, the logistics performance index, and investment in transportation) are cross-tabulated with epidemiological data from the recent coronavirus pandemic. As the samples of the data pertain to a dependent commonality, the statistical hypothesis test applicable is McNemar's test. In addition, the statistical power of the test(s) is calculated as a marker of methodological validity and reliability. To further strengthen the analytical methodology, a plethora of descriptive statistics have been calculated and multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) has been conducted. RESULTS: This work confirms that the domain of transportation bears a strong association with not only mortality of a disease, but its recovery rates as well. All crosstabs provide statistically significant results and the statistical power calculated is very high, signifying the appropriateness of the methodology and the very low probability of Type II error. The MCA results are significant, as well. CONCLUSIONS: The impact, or even the presence of transportation is veiled, as transportation comprises of derived demand dynamics. As such, its activities and even the prerequisites for its efficient operations many times go unnoticed. This work replicates a known effect, that mobility exacerbates the presence of a pathogen. The significance of this research lies on the fact that distinct indicators that reflect transportation and logistics are (though a robust calculatory methodology) statistically associated with epidemiological data. Elsevier Ltd. 2021-09 2021-05-21 /pmc/articles/PMC9765011/ /pubmed/36570714 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jth.2021.101087 Text en © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Stavroulakis, Peter J.
Tzora, Vasiliki A.
Riza, Elena
Papadimitriou, Stratos
Transportation, the pathogen vector to rule them all: Evidence from the recent coronavirus pandemic
title Transportation, the pathogen vector to rule them all: Evidence from the recent coronavirus pandemic
title_full Transportation, the pathogen vector to rule them all: Evidence from the recent coronavirus pandemic
title_fullStr Transportation, the pathogen vector to rule them all: Evidence from the recent coronavirus pandemic
title_full_unstemmed Transportation, the pathogen vector to rule them all: Evidence from the recent coronavirus pandemic
title_short Transportation, the pathogen vector to rule them all: Evidence from the recent coronavirus pandemic
title_sort transportation, the pathogen vector to rule them all: evidence from the recent coronavirus pandemic
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9765011/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36570714
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jth.2021.101087
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