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Spatial-temporal clustering of an outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Guangzhou, China in 2021

BACKGROUND: In May 2021, the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant led to the first local outbreak in China in Guangzhou City. We explored the epidemiological characteristics and spatial-temporal clustering of this outbreak. METHODS: Based on the 153 cases in the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant outbreak, the Knox test...

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Autores principales: Zhang, Qian, Zhang, Meng, Hu, Jianxiong, He, Guanhao, Zhou, Yan, Chen, Xuguang, Zhuang, Yali, Rong, Zuhua, Yin, Lihua, Zhao, Jianguo, Huang, Zitong, Zeng, Weilin, Li, Xing, Zhu, Zhihua, Tang, Yerong, Quan, Yi, Li, Yihan, Zhang, Li, Fu, Di, Li, Yan, Xiao, Jianpeng
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9780675/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36568757
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.1050096
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author Zhang, Qian
Zhang, Meng
Hu, Jianxiong
He, Guanhao
Zhou, Yan
Chen, Xuguang
Zhuang, Yali
Rong, Zuhua
Yin, Lihua
Zhao, Jianguo
Huang, Zitong
Zeng, Weilin
Li, Xing
Zhu, Zhihua
Tang, Yerong
Quan, Yi
Li, Yihan
Zhang, Li
Fu, Di
Li, Yan
Xiao, Jianpeng
author_facet Zhang, Qian
Zhang, Meng
Hu, Jianxiong
He, Guanhao
Zhou, Yan
Chen, Xuguang
Zhuang, Yali
Rong, Zuhua
Yin, Lihua
Zhao, Jianguo
Huang, Zitong
Zeng, Weilin
Li, Xing
Zhu, Zhihua
Tang, Yerong
Quan, Yi
Li, Yihan
Zhang, Li
Fu, Di
Li, Yan
Xiao, Jianpeng
author_sort Zhang, Qian
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: In May 2021, the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant led to the first local outbreak in China in Guangzhou City. We explored the epidemiological characteristics and spatial-temporal clustering of this outbreak. METHODS: Based on the 153 cases in the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant outbreak, the Knox test was used to analyze the spatial-temporal clustering of the outbreak. We further explored the spatial-temporal clustering by gender and age groups, as well as compared the changes of clustering strength (S) value between the two outbreaks in Guangzhou. RESULTS: The result of the Knox analysis showed that the areas at short distances and brief periods presented a relatively high risk. The strength of clustering of male-male pairs was higher. Age groups showed that clustering was concentrated in cases aged ≤ 18 years matched to 18–59 years and cases aged 60+ years. The strength of clustering of the outbreak declined after the implementation of public health measures. The change of strength of clustering at time intervals of 1–5 days decreased greater in 2021 (S = 129.19, change rate 38.87%) than that in 2020 (S = 83.81, change rate 30.02%). CONCLUSIONS: The outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Guangzhou has obvious spatial-temporal clustering. The timely intervention measures are essential role to contain this outbreak of high transmission.
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spelling pubmed-97806752022-12-24 Spatial-temporal clustering of an outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Guangzhou, China in 2021 Zhang, Qian Zhang, Meng Hu, Jianxiong He, Guanhao Zhou, Yan Chen, Xuguang Zhuang, Yali Rong, Zuhua Yin, Lihua Zhao, Jianguo Huang, Zitong Zeng, Weilin Li, Xing Zhu, Zhihua Tang, Yerong Quan, Yi Li, Yihan Zhang, Li Fu, Di Li, Yan Xiao, Jianpeng Front Public Health Public Health BACKGROUND: In May 2021, the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant led to the first local outbreak in China in Guangzhou City. We explored the epidemiological characteristics and spatial-temporal clustering of this outbreak. METHODS: Based on the 153 cases in the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant outbreak, the Knox test was used to analyze the spatial-temporal clustering of the outbreak. We further explored the spatial-temporal clustering by gender and age groups, as well as compared the changes of clustering strength (S) value between the two outbreaks in Guangzhou. RESULTS: The result of the Knox analysis showed that the areas at short distances and brief periods presented a relatively high risk. The strength of clustering of male-male pairs was higher. Age groups showed that clustering was concentrated in cases aged ≤ 18 years matched to 18–59 years and cases aged 60+ years. The strength of clustering of the outbreak declined after the implementation of public health measures. The change of strength of clustering at time intervals of 1–5 days decreased greater in 2021 (S = 129.19, change rate 38.87%) than that in 2020 (S = 83.81, change rate 30.02%). CONCLUSIONS: The outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Guangzhou has obvious spatial-temporal clustering. The timely intervention measures are essential role to contain this outbreak of high transmission. Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-12-09 /pmc/articles/PMC9780675/ /pubmed/36568757 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.1050096 Text en Copyright © 2022 Zhang, Zhang, Hu, He, Zhou, Chen, Zhuang, Rong, Yin, Zhao, Huang, Zeng, Li, Zhu, Tang, Quan, Li, Zhang, Fu, Li and Xiao. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
spellingShingle Public Health
Zhang, Qian
Zhang, Meng
Hu, Jianxiong
He, Guanhao
Zhou, Yan
Chen, Xuguang
Zhuang, Yali
Rong, Zuhua
Yin, Lihua
Zhao, Jianguo
Huang, Zitong
Zeng, Weilin
Li, Xing
Zhu, Zhihua
Tang, Yerong
Quan, Yi
Li, Yihan
Zhang, Li
Fu, Di
Li, Yan
Xiao, Jianpeng
Spatial-temporal clustering of an outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Guangzhou, China in 2021
title Spatial-temporal clustering of an outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Guangzhou, China in 2021
title_full Spatial-temporal clustering of an outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Guangzhou, China in 2021
title_fullStr Spatial-temporal clustering of an outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Guangzhou, China in 2021
title_full_unstemmed Spatial-temporal clustering of an outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Guangzhou, China in 2021
title_short Spatial-temporal clustering of an outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Delta VOC in Guangzhou, China in 2021
title_sort spatial-temporal clustering of an outbreak of sars-cov-2 delta voc in guangzhou, china in 2021
topic Public Health
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9780675/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36568757
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.1050096
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