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Probabilistic population forecasting: Short to very long-term()
Population forecasts are used by governments and the private sector for planning, with horizons up to about three generations (around 2100) for different purposes. The traditional methods are deterministic using scenarios, but probabilistic forecasts are desired to get an idea of accuracy, assess ch...
Autores principales: | Raftery, Adrian E., Ševčíková, Hana |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9783793/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36568848 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.09.001 |
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