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A city-level transport vision for 2050: Reimagined since COVID-19

Transformative changes are needed in the transport sector to limit global warming. Radical transport disruptions experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic, such as greater Working from Home (WFH) and active travel, present a unique opportunity to reimagine more sustainable transport systems. The aim...

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Autores principales: Pawluk De-Toledo, Katherine, O'Hern, Steve, Koppel, Sjaan
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9806117/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36618963
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2022.12.022
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author Pawluk De-Toledo, Katherine
O'Hern, Steve
Koppel, Sjaan
author_facet Pawluk De-Toledo, Katherine
O'Hern, Steve
Koppel, Sjaan
author_sort Pawluk De-Toledo, Katherine
collection PubMed
description Transformative changes are needed in the transport sector to limit global warming. Radical transport disruptions experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic, such as greater Working from Home (WFH) and active travel, present a unique opportunity to reimagine more sustainable transport systems. The aim of the current study was to develop a 2050 transport vision and identify short term priorities for Melbourne (Australia) based on in-depth stakeholder interviews. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first backcasting study since COVID-19. As the city with the ‘longest lockdown’, Melbourne has valuable lessons for the rest of the world. Overall, participants reported that they were uncertain about the future of the central business district. Participants envisaged that the transport system would be carbon-neutral or carbon-positive. However, private motor vehicles (including electric and automated) were not considered the solution for handling the scale of trips anticipated with the projected population size. Instead, participants perceived that in Melbourne by 2050, there will be less work-related travel due to greater job flexibility and WFH. More localised neighbourhood living (20-minute cities), with most short trips undertaken by active travel, and longer trips by public transport. Furthermore, it was projected that regional centres will grow and the transport system will be for the whole state of Victoria and not just Melbourne. Finally, the study identified short term (2021–2030) travel behaviour priorities and eight immediate actions, including: urban design focusing on inspiring active travel; reallocating road space to prioritise active and public transport modes; planning for micromobility urban freight; improving public transport services; expanding public transport networks; installing electric vehicle charging infrastructure; supporting WFH to encourage trip avoidance; and encouraging political consensus when building major transport projects.
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spelling pubmed-98061172023-01-04 A city-level transport vision for 2050: Reimagined since COVID-19 Pawluk De-Toledo, Katherine O'Hern, Steve Koppel, Sjaan Transp Policy (Oxf) Article Transformative changes are needed in the transport sector to limit global warming. Radical transport disruptions experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic, such as greater Working from Home (WFH) and active travel, present a unique opportunity to reimagine more sustainable transport systems. The aim of the current study was to develop a 2050 transport vision and identify short term priorities for Melbourne (Australia) based on in-depth stakeholder interviews. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first backcasting study since COVID-19. As the city with the ‘longest lockdown’, Melbourne has valuable lessons for the rest of the world. Overall, participants reported that they were uncertain about the future of the central business district. Participants envisaged that the transport system would be carbon-neutral or carbon-positive. However, private motor vehicles (including electric and automated) were not considered the solution for handling the scale of trips anticipated with the projected population size. Instead, participants perceived that in Melbourne by 2050, there will be less work-related travel due to greater job flexibility and WFH. More localised neighbourhood living (20-minute cities), with most short trips undertaken by active travel, and longer trips by public transport. Furthermore, it was projected that regional centres will grow and the transport system will be for the whole state of Victoria and not just Melbourne. Finally, the study identified short term (2021–2030) travel behaviour priorities and eight immediate actions, including: urban design focusing on inspiring active travel; reallocating road space to prioritise active and public transport modes; planning for micromobility urban freight; improving public transport services; expanding public transport networks; installing electric vehicle charging infrastructure; supporting WFH to encourage trip avoidance; and encouraging political consensus when building major transport projects. Elsevier Ltd. 2023-03 2023-01-02 /pmc/articles/PMC9806117/ /pubmed/36618963 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2022.12.022 Text en © 2023 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Pawluk De-Toledo, Katherine
O'Hern, Steve
Koppel, Sjaan
A city-level transport vision for 2050: Reimagined since COVID-19
title A city-level transport vision for 2050: Reimagined since COVID-19
title_full A city-level transport vision for 2050: Reimagined since COVID-19
title_fullStr A city-level transport vision for 2050: Reimagined since COVID-19
title_full_unstemmed A city-level transport vision for 2050: Reimagined since COVID-19
title_short A city-level transport vision for 2050: Reimagined since COVID-19
title_sort city-level transport vision for 2050: reimagined since covid-19
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9806117/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36618963
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2022.12.022
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