The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio to predict poor prognosis of critical acute myocardial infarction patients: a retrospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION: Inflammation is closely related to adverse outcomes of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). This study aimed to evaluate whether neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) can predict poor prognosis of critical AMI patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We designed a retrospective cohort study and extracted AMI patients from the “Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III” database. The primary outcome was 1-year all-cause mortality. The secondary outcomes were 90-day and in-hospital all-cause mortalities, and acute kidney injury (AKI) incidence. The optimal cut-offs of NLR were picked by X-tile software according to the 1-year mortality and patient groups were created: low-NLR (< 4.8), high-NLR (4.8 - 21.1), and very high-NLR (> 21.1). Cox and modified Poisson regression models were used to evaluate the effect of NLR on outcomes in critically AMI patients. RESULTS: Finally, 782 critical AMI patients were enrolled in this study, and the 1-year mortality was 32% (249/782). The high- and very high-NLR groups had a higher incidence of outcomes than the low-NLR group (P < 0.05). The multivariate regression analyses found that the high- and very high-NLR groups had a higher risk of 1-year mortality (Hazard ratio (HR) = 1.59, 95% CI: 1.12 to 2.24, P = 0.009 and HR = 1.73, 95% CI: 1.09 to 2.73, P = 0.020), 90-day mortality (HR = 1.69, 95% CI: 1.13 to 2.54, P = 0.011 and HR = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.13 to 3.20, P = 0.016), in-hospital mortality (Relative risk (RR) = 1.77, 95% CI: 1.14 to 2.74, P = 0.010 and RR = 2.10, 95% CI: 1.23 to 3.58, P = 0.007), and AKI incidence (RR = 1.44, 95% CI: 1.06 to 1.95, P = 0.018 and RR = 1.34, 95% CI: 0.87 to 2.07, P = 0.180) compared with low-NLR group. NLR retained stable predictive ability in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: Baseline NLR is an independent risk factor for 1-year mortality, 90-day mortality, in-hospital mortality, and AKI incidence in AMI patients.