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Disruption of Social Orders in Societal Transitions as Affective Control of Uncertainty
Bayesian affect control theory is a model of affect-driven social interaction under conditions of uncertainty. In this paper, we investigate how the operationalization of uncertainty in the model can be related to the disruption of social orders—societal pressures to adapt to ongoing environmental a...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
SAGE Publications
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9814019/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36620307 http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/00027642211066055 |
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author | Hoey, Jesse Schröder, Tobias |
author_facet | Hoey, Jesse Schröder, Tobias |
author_sort | Hoey, Jesse |
collection | PubMed |
description | Bayesian affect control theory is a model of affect-driven social interaction under conditions of uncertainty. In this paper, we investigate how the operationalization of uncertainty in the model can be related to the disruption of social orders—societal pressures to adapt to ongoing environmental and technological change. First, we study the theoretical tradeoffs between three kinds of uncertainty as groups navigate external problems: validity (the predictability of the environment, including of other agents), coherence (the predictability of interpersonal affective dynamics), and dependence (the predictability of affective meanings). Second, we discuss how these uncertainty tradeoffs are related to contemporary political conflict and polarization in the context of societal transitions. To illustrate the potential of our model to analyze the socio-emotional consequences of uncertainty, we present a simulation of diverging individual affective meanings of occupational identities under uncertainty in a climate change mitigation scenario based on events in Germany. Finally, we sketch a possible research agenda to substantiate the novel, but yet mostly conjectural, ideas put forward in this paper. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9814019 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | SAGE Publications |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-98140192023-01-06 Disruption of Social Orders in Societal Transitions as Affective Control of Uncertainty Hoey, Jesse Schröder, Tobias Am Behav Sci Articles Bayesian affect control theory is a model of affect-driven social interaction under conditions of uncertainty. In this paper, we investigate how the operationalization of uncertainty in the model can be related to the disruption of social orders—societal pressures to adapt to ongoing environmental and technological change. First, we study the theoretical tradeoffs between three kinds of uncertainty as groups navigate external problems: validity (the predictability of the environment, including of other agents), coherence (the predictability of interpersonal affective dynamics), and dependence (the predictability of affective meanings). Second, we discuss how these uncertainty tradeoffs are related to contemporary political conflict and polarization in the context of societal transitions. To illustrate the potential of our model to analyze the socio-emotional consequences of uncertainty, we present a simulation of diverging individual affective meanings of occupational identities under uncertainty in a climate change mitigation scenario based on events in Germany. Finally, we sketch a possible research agenda to substantiate the novel, but yet mostly conjectural, ideas put forward in this paper. SAGE Publications 2022-02-26 2023-02 /pmc/articles/PMC9814019/ /pubmed/36620307 http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/00027642211066055 Text en © 2022 SAGE Publications https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits non-commercial use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed as specified on the SAGE and Open Access page (https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/open-access-at-sage). |
spellingShingle | Articles Hoey, Jesse Schröder, Tobias Disruption of Social Orders in Societal Transitions as Affective Control of Uncertainty |
title | Disruption of Social Orders in Societal Transitions as Affective Control of Uncertainty |
title_full | Disruption of Social Orders in Societal Transitions as Affective Control of Uncertainty |
title_fullStr | Disruption of Social Orders in Societal Transitions as Affective Control of Uncertainty |
title_full_unstemmed | Disruption of Social Orders in Societal Transitions as Affective Control of Uncertainty |
title_short | Disruption of Social Orders in Societal Transitions as Affective Control of Uncertainty |
title_sort | disruption of social orders in societal transitions as affective control of uncertainty |
topic | Articles |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9814019/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36620307 http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/00027642211066055 |
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