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Spatial distribution and temporal trends of AIDS in Brazil and regions between 2005 and 2020
OBJECTIVE: To analyze the spatial distribution and the temporal trend of the AIDS incidence rate in Brazil from 2005 to 2020. METHODS: This is an ecological, temporal, and spatial study on AIDS cases in Brazil. Data from the Notifiable Diseases Information System were stratified by year of diagnosis...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9838234/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36629614 http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1980-549720230002 |
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author | Batista, Jefferson Felipe Calazans Oliveira, Marília Ramalho Pereira, Débora Lorena Melo Matos, Maria Laura Sales da Silva de Souza, Isabela Teles Menezes, Max Oliveira |
author_facet | Batista, Jefferson Felipe Calazans Oliveira, Marília Ramalho Pereira, Débora Lorena Melo Matos, Maria Laura Sales da Silva de Souza, Isabela Teles Menezes, Max Oliveira |
author_sort | Batista, Jefferson Felipe Calazans |
collection | PubMed |
description | OBJECTIVE: To analyze the spatial distribution and the temporal trend of the AIDS incidence rate in Brazil from 2005 to 2020. METHODS: This is an ecological, temporal, and spatial study on AIDS cases in Brazil. Data from the Notifiable Diseases Information System were stratified by year of diagnosis, region of the country/municipalities of residence, and age group (over 13 years). Incidence rates were calculated for temporal estimation using the Joinpoint model, as well as Spatial Empirical Bayes (SEB) for spatial distribution, using the Kernel density estimator. RESULTS: The incidence rate in Brazil, in 2020, was 17.69 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants. The general trend (2005–2020) was decrease in Brazil (Annual Percent Change – APC=-2.0%), in the Southeast (APC=-4.4%) and South (APC=-3.0%) regions. The North (APC=2.3%) showed an increase trend, whereas the Southeast and Midwest regions were stationary (p>0.05). Brazil, Southeast, South, and Midwest regions showed a decrease trend in most age groups. The Northeast and North regions showed an increase in the age groups of 13–29 years and 13–24 years, respectively. The Kernel estimator showed clusters with SEB above 30/10 thousand inhabitants in the states of Paraíba, Sergipe, Alagoas, Pernambuco, São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Pará, Rio Grande do Sul, and Santa Catarina. CONCLUSION: Brazil, the Southeast, and South regions showed a decrease in the incidence rate, whereas the North region increased and the Northeast and Midwest regions were stationary. The Southeast, South, and Northeast regions presented the largest clusters of SEB. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9838234 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-98382342023-01-17 Spatial distribution and temporal trends of AIDS in Brazil and regions between 2005 and 2020 Batista, Jefferson Felipe Calazans Oliveira, Marília Ramalho Pereira, Débora Lorena Melo Matos, Maria Laura Sales da Silva de Souza, Isabela Teles Menezes, Max Oliveira Rev Bras Epidemiol Original Article OBJECTIVE: To analyze the spatial distribution and the temporal trend of the AIDS incidence rate in Brazil from 2005 to 2020. METHODS: This is an ecological, temporal, and spatial study on AIDS cases in Brazil. Data from the Notifiable Diseases Information System were stratified by year of diagnosis, region of the country/municipalities of residence, and age group (over 13 years). Incidence rates were calculated for temporal estimation using the Joinpoint model, as well as Spatial Empirical Bayes (SEB) for spatial distribution, using the Kernel density estimator. RESULTS: The incidence rate in Brazil, in 2020, was 17.69 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants. The general trend (2005–2020) was decrease in Brazil (Annual Percent Change – APC=-2.0%), in the Southeast (APC=-4.4%) and South (APC=-3.0%) regions. The North (APC=2.3%) showed an increase trend, whereas the Southeast and Midwest regions were stationary (p>0.05). Brazil, Southeast, South, and Midwest regions showed a decrease trend in most age groups. The Northeast and North regions showed an increase in the age groups of 13–29 years and 13–24 years, respectively. The Kernel estimator showed clusters with SEB above 30/10 thousand inhabitants in the states of Paraíba, Sergipe, Alagoas, Pernambuco, São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Pará, Rio Grande do Sul, and Santa Catarina. CONCLUSION: Brazil, the Southeast, and South regions showed a decrease in the incidence rate, whereas the North region increased and the Northeast and Midwest regions were stationary. The Southeast, South, and Northeast regions presented the largest clusters of SEB. Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva 2023-01-06 /pmc/articles/PMC9838234/ /pubmed/36629614 http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1980-549720230002 Text en https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/All the contents of this journal, except where otherwise noted, is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License |
spellingShingle | Original Article Batista, Jefferson Felipe Calazans Oliveira, Marília Ramalho Pereira, Débora Lorena Melo Matos, Maria Laura Sales da Silva de Souza, Isabela Teles Menezes, Max Oliveira Spatial distribution and temporal trends of AIDS in Brazil and regions between 2005 and 2020 |
title | Spatial distribution and temporal trends of AIDS in Brazil and regions between 2005 and 2020 |
title_full | Spatial distribution and temporal trends of AIDS in Brazil and regions between 2005 and 2020 |
title_fullStr | Spatial distribution and temporal trends of AIDS in Brazil and regions between 2005 and 2020 |
title_full_unstemmed | Spatial distribution and temporal trends of AIDS in Brazil and regions between 2005 and 2020 |
title_short | Spatial distribution and temporal trends of AIDS in Brazil and regions between 2005 and 2020 |
title_sort | spatial distribution and temporal trends of aids in brazil and regions between 2005 and 2020 |
topic | Original Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9838234/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36629614 http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1980-549720230002 |
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