Evaluation of Lactate Dehydrogenase and Alkaline Phosphatase as Predictive Biomarkers in the Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Development of a New Nomogram

BACKGROUND: Tumor proliferation is frequently accompanied by aberrant enzyme production. We aim to investigate the potential predictive value of both plasma alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) in patients with HCC and to develop a nomogram to assess the prognosis of HCC. METHODS: The trial involved 2327 patients between May 2015 and March 2022. Within 7 days of enrollment, the levels of ALP and LDH were measured, and their association with survival was assessed. And we had developed and validated a new nomogram based on ALD and ALP. RESULTS: Using X-tile software, the optimal cut-off values were determined to be ALP = 172 U/L and LDH = 241 U/L. The high ALP (≥ 172), LDH (≥ 241), and ALP/LDH (≥ 0.91) groups had lower median overall survival (mOS) than low ALP (< 172), LDH (< 241), and ALP/LDH (< 0.91) groups (all p < 0.001). In addition, elevated ALP and LDH levels are independent negative prognostic indicators. Moreover, we established that the area under the curve (AUC) values of the predicted 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival rates of receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) based on the nomogram were 0.79, 0.77, and 0.74, respectively. In addition, the calibration curves and decision curve analyses (DCA) demonstrated that this model possessed strong predictive capability. CONCLUSION: ALP, LDH and ALP/LDH can be employed as biomarkers for predicting the prognosis of HCC. Furthermore, the nomograph based on ALH and ALP demonstrates good HCC prediction performance. For HCC patients with high ALH or ALP or ALP/LDH, close surveillance program and adjuvant therapy should be considered.