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Using a Dynamic Causal Model to validate previous predictions and offer a 12-month forecast of the long-term effects of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK
BACKGROUND: Predicting the future UK COVID-19 epidemic provides a baseline of a vaccine-only mitigation policy from which to judge the effects of additional public health interventions. A previous 12-month prediction of the size of the epidemic to October 2022 underestimated its sequelae by a fifth....
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
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Frontiers Media S.A.
2023
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9853371/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36684985 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.1108886 |