Association of hemoglobin A1c with the incidence of hypertension: A large prospective study

BACKGROUND: Although hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) is closely related to diabetes, its relationship with the incidence of hypertension is still unknown, so we aimed to evaluate the relationship between HbA1c and the incidence of hypertension in the general population. METHOD: In this large prospective cohort study with a median follow-up of 2 years, we included 4,074 participants from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS). Multivariate COX regression, subgroup analysis, receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve and restricted cubic spline (RCS) were used to evaluate the relationship between HbA1c and incidental hypertension. RESULTS: Compared with participants without incident hypertension, participants with incident hypertension had higher levels of HbA1c (P < 0.05). In univariate COX regression analysis, HbA1c was associated with the risk of hypertension (HR: 1.161, 95% CI: 1.105-1.221, P < 0.001). In multivariate COX regression analysis adjusted for confounding variables, HbA1c was still closely related to the risk of hypertension (HR: 1.102, 95% CI: 1.006-1.206, P = 0.037). And subgroup analysis showed that the relationship between HbA1c and hypertension remained significant in female, lower than high school and non-obese subgroups (P < 0.05). ROC curve also showed that HbA1c could predict the risk of hypertension (AUC = 0.583, 95% CI: 0.568-0.598, P < 0.001). Further RCS analysis showed that HbA1c was positively correlated with the risk of hypertension (P for nonlinearity = 0.642). CONCLUSION: HbA1c was linearly and positively associated with the incidence of hypertension.