Tuberculosis incidence rate time series in the state of Santa Catarina, Brazil: analysis of a decade, 2010-2019

OBJECTIVE: To describe the profile of tuberculosis cases and analyze the temporal trend of tuberculosis incidence rate in Santa Catarina, by sex, from 2010 to 2019. METHODS: This was a time series study conducted using data from the Notifiable Health Conditions Information System (SINAN). The Prais-Winsten regression model was used. RESULTS: There were 16,446 new cases of tuberculosis. Most cases occurred in males (68.5%), people aged 20 to 49 years (70.3%), in Greater Florianópolis (25.1%) and in individuals with incomplete elementary education (40.0%). A falling trend in tuberculosis incidence rates was found for males (APC: -1.86%; 95%CI -2.68;-1.03), females (APC: -1.92%; 95%CI -2.63;-1.20) and both sexes (APC: -1.77%; 95%CI -2.37;-1.17). CONCLUSION: In the decade analyzed, there was a significant reduction in the tuberculosis incidence rate in Santa Catarina, in both sexes. There was a predominance of males, people of economically active age and with low schooling.