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Domino effect of a natural cascade alpine lake system on the Third Pole
Third Pole natural cascade alpine lakes (NCALs) are exceptionally sensitive to climate change, yet the underlying cryosphere-hydrological processes and associated societal impacts are largely unknown. Here, with a state-of-the-art cryosphere-hydrology-lake-dam model, we quantified the notable high-m...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Oxford University Press
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9896952/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36741461 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgac053 |
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author | Wang, Lei Liu, Hu Zhong, Xiaoyang Zhou, Jing Zhu, Liping Yao, Tandong Xie, Changwei Ju, Jianting Chen, Deliang Yang, Kun Zhao, Lin Lu, Shanlong Khanal, Sonu Jin, Jiming Liu, Wenhui Liu, Baokang Du, Yu'e Yao, Xiaojun Lei, Yanbin Zhang, Guoqing Nepal, Santosh |
author_facet | Wang, Lei Liu, Hu Zhong, Xiaoyang Zhou, Jing Zhu, Liping Yao, Tandong Xie, Changwei Ju, Jianting Chen, Deliang Yang, Kun Zhao, Lin Lu, Shanlong Khanal, Sonu Jin, Jiming Liu, Wenhui Liu, Baokang Du, Yu'e Yao, Xiaojun Lei, Yanbin Zhang, Guoqing Nepal, Santosh |
author_sort | Wang, Lei |
collection | PubMed |
description | Third Pole natural cascade alpine lakes (NCALs) are exceptionally sensitive to climate change, yet the underlying cryosphere-hydrological processes and associated societal impacts are largely unknown. Here, with a state-of-the-art cryosphere-hydrology-lake-dam model, we quantified the notable high-mountain Hoh-Xil NCALs basin (including Lakes Zonag, Kusai, Hedin Noel, and Yanhu, from upstream to downstream) formed by the Lake Zonag outburst in September 2011. We demonstrate that long-term increased precipitation and accelerated ice and snow melting as well as short-term heavy precipitation and earthquake events were responsible for the Lake Zonag outburst; while the permafrost degradation only had a marginal impact on the lake inflows but was crucial to lakeshore stability. The quadrupling of the Lake Yanhu area since 2012 was due to the tripling of inflows (from 0.25 to 0.76 km(3)/year for 1999 to 2010 and 2012 to 2018, respectively). Prediction of the NCALs changes suggests a high risk of the downstream Qinghai–Tibet Railway, necessitating timely adaptions/mitigations. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9896952 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Oxford University Press |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-98969522023-02-04 Domino effect of a natural cascade alpine lake system on the Third Pole Wang, Lei Liu, Hu Zhong, Xiaoyang Zhou, Jing Zhu, Liping Yao, Tandong Xie, Changwei Ju, Jianting Chen, Deliang Yang, Kun Zhao, Lin Lu, Shanlong Khanal, Sonu Jin, Jiming Liu, Wenhui Liu, Baokang Du, Yu'e Yao, Xiaojun Lei, Yanbin Zhang, Guoqing Nepal, Santosh PNAS Nexus Physical Sciences and Engineering Third Pole natural cascade alpine lakes (NCALs) are exceptionally sensitive to climate change, yet the underlying cryosphere-hydrological processes and associated societal impacts are largely unknown. Here, with a state-of-the-art cryosphere-hydrology-lake-dam model, we quantified the notable high-mountain Hoh-Xil NCALs basin (including Lakes Zonag, Kusai, Hedin Noel, and Yanhu, from upstream to downstream) formed by the Lake Zonag outburst in September 2011. We demonstrate that long-term increased precipitation and accelerated ice and snow melting as well as short-term heavy precipitation and earthquake events were responsible for the Lake Zonag outburst; while the permafrost degradation only had a marginal impact on the lake inflows but was crucial to lakeshore stability. The quadrupling of the Lake Yanhu area since 2012 was due to the tripling of inflows (from 0.25 to 0.76 km(3)/year for 1999 to 2010 and 2012 to 2018, respectively). Prediction of the NCALs changes suggests a high risk of the downstream Qinghai–Tibet Railway, necessitating timely adaptions/mitigations. Oxford University Press 2022-05-16 /pmc/articles/PMC9896952/ /pubmed/36741461 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgac053 Text en © The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the National Academy of Sciences. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial reproduction and distribution of the work, in any medium, provided the original work is not altered or transformed in any way, and that the work is properly cited. For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com |
spellingShingle | Physical Sciences and Engineering Wang, Lei Liu, Hu Zhong, Xiaoyang Zhou, Jing Zhu, Liping Yao, Tandong Xie, Changwei Ju, Jianting Chen, Deliang Yang, Kun Zhao, Lin Lu, Shanlong Khanal, Sonu Jin, Jiming Liu, Wenhui Liu, Baokang Du, Yu'e Yao, Xiaojun Lei, Yanbin Zhang, Guoqing Nepal, Santosh Domino effect of a natural cascade alpine lake system on the Third Pole |
title | Domino effect of a natural cascade alpine lake system on the Third Pole |
title_full | Domino effect of a natural cascade alpine lake system on the Third Pole |
title_fullStr | Domino effect of a natural cascade alpine lake system on the Third Pole |
title_full_unstemmed | Domino effect of a natural cascade alpine lake system on the Third Pole |
title_short | Domino effect of a natural cascade alpine lake system on the Third Pole |
title_sort | domino effect of a natural cascade alpine lake system on the third pole |
topic | Physical Sciences and Engineering |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9896952/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36741461 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgac053 |
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