Clinical significance of dynamic variation of low cholesterol and its prognostic value in patients with pyogenic liver abscesses: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND: Serum lipids variations are closely related to the sepsis progression; however, their value for patients with pyogenic liver abscesses (PLA) has rarely been studied. We investigated the serum lipid level variations in patients with PLA and its predictive value to the disease. METHODS: The study included 328 patients with PLA hospitalized in the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 2017 to December 2021; 35 (10.67%) in the severe group (SG) and 293 (89.33%) in the non-severe group (nSG). Their clinical records were analyzed retrospectively, and dynamic curves were drawn to clarify the changes in different indicators during the course of the disease. RESULTS: High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and lipoprotein(a) (Lp(a)) in the SG were significantly lower than those in nSG (P < 0.001). Total cholesterol (TC) at baseline (OR = 0.184, P < 0.001) was an independent risk factor for severe patients and had the highest predictive value, with an area under the curve of 0.859 and a cut-off value of 2.70 mmol/L (sensitivity = 94.3%, specificity = 63.5%). For patients who met the criteria for drainage surgery, TC, HDL-C and LDL-C levels continued to decrease with antibiotic therapy alone before drainage and began to increase after the surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Low TC level on admission is an independent risk factor for the progression of severe illness in PLA patients, with the highest predictive value surpassing other routine clinical indices. Abscess drainage should be performed as soon as possible for patients whose TC continues to decline after medical treatment. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-023-08011-7.